--- title: "10% Knife Guaranted case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Knife Guaranted ($5.29) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.12% over 191 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6902510-10percent-knife-guaranted rendered: 2026-11-13T04:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [10% Knife Guaranted](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6902510-10percent-knife-guaranted) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · 10% Knife Guaranted A case on CSGORoll, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6902510-10percent-knife-guaranted?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6902510-10percent-knife-guaranted?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6902510-10percent-knife-guaranted) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6902510-10percent-knife-guaranted?window=all) Price · $5.29 · 7.56 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.12% · 191 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 36 openings · below min 7 days · 167 openings · below min 30 days · 191 openings · below min since tracking started · 191 openings · below min 6.5% 79.5% 152.5% **Small sample.** 191 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6902510-10percent-knife-guaranted?window=24h) | 36 | 79.55% ±72.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6902510-10percent-knife-guaranted?window=7d) | 167 | 92.84% ±36.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6902510-10percent-knife-guaranted) | 191 | 85.12% ±33.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/6902510-10percent-knife-guaranted?window=all) | 191 | 85.12% ±33.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=6902510-10percent-knife-guaranted) [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) [RustyGamblingLord](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/RustyGamblingLord) $5.12 7.31 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 21:24 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $5.12 7.31 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 21:24 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $5.12 7.31 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 21:24 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $5.12 7.31 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 21:24 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $5.12 7.31 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 21:24 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $5.12 7.31 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 21:24 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) [Dommemannen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Dommemannen) $5.12 7.31 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 08:52 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $5.12 7.31 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 08:52 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $5.12 7.31 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 08:52 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $5.12 7.31 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 08:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.12 on average: an expected loss of $14.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt