--- title: "Rust case case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Rust case ($13.72) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.85% over 6 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7047986-rust-case-1789545476644 rendered: 2026-11-12T10:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Rust case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7047986-rust-case-1789545476644) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Rust case A case on CSGORoll, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7047986-rust-case-1789545476644?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7047986-rust-case-1789545476644?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7047986-rust-case-1789545476644) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7047986-rust-case-1789545476644?window=all) Price · $13.72 · 19.6 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 92.85% · 6 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 107.5% 215.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7047986-rust-case-1789545476644?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7047986-rust-case-1789545476644?window=7d) | 6 | 92.85% ±122.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7047986-rust-case-1789545476644) | 6 | 92.85% ±122.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7047986-rust-case-1789545476644?window=all) | 6 | 92.85% ±122.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=7047986-rust-case-1789545476644) [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.72 19.6 coins $6.76 9.65 coins 0.49x 2026-11-09 02:09 UTC [MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $13.72 19.6 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:09 UTC [MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $13.72 19.6 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:09 UTC [MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-well-worn) [Serenity](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Serenity) $13.72 19.6 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:09 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Rust Coat (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-rust-coat-factory-new) Hidden $13.72 19.6 coins $16.18 23.11 coins 1.18x 2026-11-09 02:09 UTC [PP-Bizon | Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rust-coat-factory-new) Hidden $13.72 19.6 coins $53.47 76.39 coins 3.90x 2026-11-09 02:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.85 on average: an expected loss of $7.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt