---
title: "50 % AWP case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "50 % AWP ($4.20) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 71.82% over 32 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7055635-50-percent-awp-1771498309280
rendered: 2026-11-13T07:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [50 % AWP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7055635-50-percent-awp-1771498309280)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · 50 % AWP

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7055635-50-percent-awp-1771498309280?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7055635-50-percent-awp-1771498309280?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7055635-50-percent-awp-1771498309280) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7055635-50-percent-awp-1771498309280?window=all)

Price · $4.20 · 6 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 71.82% · 32 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 12 openings · below min

7 days · 32 openings · below min

30 days · 32 openings · below min

since tracking started · 32 openings · below min

23.5% 65.3% 107.0%

**Small sample.** 32 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7055635-50-percent-awp-1771498309280?window=24h) | 12 | 65.30% ±41.3 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7055635-50-percent-awp-1771498309280?window=7d) | 32 | 71.82% ±26.9 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7055635-50-percent-awp-1771498309280) | 32 | 71.82% ±26.9 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7055635-50-percent-awp-1771498309280?window=all) | 32 | 71.82% ±26.9 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=7055635-50-percent-awp-1771498309280)

[Sticker | broky | Antwerp 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-broky-antwerp-2022) Hidden $4.17 5.96 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:57 UTC

[AWP | Phobos (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-factory-new) [sar haozar](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/sar%20haozar) $4.17 5.96 coins $5.17 7.38 coins 1.24x 2026-11-12 21:57 UTC

[AWP | Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) Hidden $4.17 5.96 coins $4.72 6.74 coins 1.13x 2026-11-12 17:18 UTC

[AWP | Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) Hidden $4.17 5.96 coins $3.30 4.71 coins 0.79x 2026-11-12 17:18 UTC

[Sticker | broky | Antwerp 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-broky-antwerp-2022) [Jonas](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jonas) $4.17 5.96 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 17:18 UTC

[AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.17 5.96 coins $7.06 10.08 coins 1.69x 2026-11-12 17:18 UTC

[AWP | Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) [cwenwen0927](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/cwenwen0927) $4.17 5.96 coins $4.72 6.74 coins 1.13x 2026-11-12 15:13 UTC

[Sticker | broky | Antwerp 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-broky-antwerp-2022) Hidden $4.17 5.96 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 15:13 UTC

[Sticker | broky | Antwerp 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-broky-antwerp-2022) Hidden $4.17 5.96 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 15:13 UTC

[Sticker | broky | Antwerp 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-broky-antwerp-2022) Hidden $4.17 5.96 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 15:13 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 71.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $71.82 on average: an expected loss of $28.18 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
