--- title: "Try Me Be Lucy case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Try Me Be Lucy ($6.33) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 17.69% over 15 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7168620-try-me-be-lucy-1789425559031 rendered: 2026-11-13T02:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Try Me Be Lucy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7168620-try-me-be-lucy-1789425559031) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Try Me Be Lucy A case on CSGORoll, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7168620-try-me-be-lucy-1789425559031?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7168620-try-me-be-lucy-1789425559031?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7168620-try-me-be-lucy-1789425559031) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7168620-try-me-be-lucy-1789425559031?window=all) Price · $6.33 · 9.05 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 17.69% · 15 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 5 openings · below min 7 days · 15 openings · below min 30 days · 15 openings · below min since tracking started · 15 openings · below min -0.5% 23.5% 47.5% **Small sample.** 15 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7168620-try-me-be-lucy-1789425559031?window=24h) | 5 | 2.88% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7168620-try-me-be-lucy-1789425559031?window=7d) | 15 | 17.69% ±29.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7168620-try-me-be-lucy-1789425559031) | 15 | 17.69% ±29.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7168620-try-me-be-lucy-1789425559031?window=all) | 15 | 17.69% ±29.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=7168620-try-me-be-lucy-1789425559031) [StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) [Dommemannen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Dommemannen) $6.33 9.04 coins $0.18 0.26 coins 0.03x 2026-11-12 09:00 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.33 9.04 coins $0.18 0.26 coins 0.03x 2026-11-12 09:00 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.33 9.04 coins $0.18 0.26 coins 0.03x 2026-11-12 09:00 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.33 9.04 coins $0.18 0.26 coins 0.03x 2026-11-12 09:00 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.33 9.04 coins $0.18 0.26 coins 0.03x 2026-11-12 09:00 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.33 9.04 coins $0.18 0.26 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:09 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) [Ron Swanson](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Ron%20Swanson) $6.33 9.04 coins $0.18 0.26 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:09 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.33 9.04 coins $0.18 0.26 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:09 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) Hidden $6.33 9.04 coins $14.25 20.35 coins 2.25x 2026-11-11 15:09 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.33 9.05 coins $0.18 0.26 coins 0.03x 2026-11-09 12:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 17.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $17.69 on average: an expected loss of $82.31 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt