--- title: "MANIA5 case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "MANIA5 ($95.47) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 3.89% over 6 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7260123-mania5-1792640343446 rendered: 2026-11-12T15:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [MANIA5](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7260123-mania5-1792640343446) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · MANIA5 A case on CSGORoll, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7260123-mania5-1792640343446?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7260123-mania5-1792640343446?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7260123-mania5-1792640343446) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7260123-mania5-1792640343446?window=all) Price · $95.47 · 136 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 3.89% · 6 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 4.5% 9.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7260123-mania5-1792640343446?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7260123-mania5-1792640343446?window=7d) | 6 | 3.89% ±4.78 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7260123-mania5-1792640343446) | 6 | 3.89% ±4.78 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7260123-mania5-1792640343446?window=all) | 6 | 3.89% ±4.78 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=7260123-mania5-1792640343446) [Sticker | Seeing Red sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red) [bradbeloved](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/bradbeloved) $95.47 136 coins $0.64 0.92 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 09:53 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Insomnia (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-insomnia-factory-new) Hidden $95.47 136 coins $0.76 1.09 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 09:53 UTC [Sticker | Seeing Red sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red) Hidden $95.47 136 coins $0.64 0.92 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 09:53 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) Hidden $95.47 136 coins $4.56 6.51 coins 0.05x 2026-11-09 09:53 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Insomnia (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-insomnia-factory-new) Hidden $95.47 136 coins $0.76 1.09 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 09:53 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-full-stop-minimal-wear) Hidden $95.47 136 coins $14.93 21.33 coins 0.16x 2026-11-09 09:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 3.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $3.89 on average: an expected loss of $96.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt