--- title: "40% Low Risk case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "40% Low Risk ($17.60) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 59.75% over 8 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7552617-40percent-low-risk-1790217349047 rendered: 2026-11-13T04:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [40% Low Risk](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7552617-40percent-low-risk-1790217349047) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · 40% Low Risk A case on CSGORoll, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7552617-40percent-low-risk-1790217349047?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7552617-40percent-low-risk-1790217349047?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7552617-40percent-low-risk-1790217349047) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7552617-40percent-low-risk-1790217349047?window=all) Price · $17.60 · 25.14 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 59.75% · 8 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min 34.5% 59.7% 85.0% **Small sample.** 8 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7552617-40percent-low-risk-1790217349047?window=24h) | 4 | 48.84% ±8.60 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7552617-40percent-low-risk-1790217349047?window=7d) | 8 | 59.75% ±24.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7552617-40percent-low-risk-1790217349047) | 8 | 59.75% ±24.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7552617-40percent-low-risk-1790217349047?window=all) | 8 | 59.75% ±24.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=7552617-40percent-low-risk-1790217349047) [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-well-worn) Hidden $17.40 24.86 coins $9.82 14.03 coins 0.56x 2026-11-12 05:46 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.40 24.86 coins $7.18 10.25 coins 0.41x 2026-11-12 05:46 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-well-worn) Hidden $17.40 24.86 coins $9.82 14.03 coins 0.56x 2026-11-12 05:46 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) [✪ Bruce](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%E2%9C%AA%20Bruce) $17.40 24.86 coins $7.18 10.25 coins 0.41x 2026-11-12 05:46 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.60 25.14 coins $7.10 10.14 coins 0.40x 2026-11-08 01:15 UTC [AK-47 | The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-battle-scarred) Hidden $17.60 25.14 coins $25.58 36.55 coins 1.45x 2026-11-08 01:15 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) [User#815](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/User%23815) $17.60 25.14 coins $7.10 10.14 coins 0.40x 2026-11-08 01:15 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-well-worn) Hidden $17.60 25.14 coins $9.88 14.11 coins 0.56x 2026-11-08 01:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 59.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $59.75 on average: an expected loss of $40.25 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt