--- title: "5% knifeeeeeeeee case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% knifeeeeeeeee ($4.76) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 74.27% over 394 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7593666-5percent-knifeeeeeeeee-1789515300011 rendered: 2026-11-13T03:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [5% knifeeeeeeeee](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7593666-5percent-knifeeeeeeeee-1789515300011) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · 5% knifeeeeeeeee A case on CSGORoll, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7593666-5percent-knifeeeeeeeee-1789515300011?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7593666-5percent-knifeeeeeeeee-1789515300011?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7593666-5percent-knifeeeeeeeee-1789515300011) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7593666-5percent-knifeeeeeeeee-1789515300011?window=all) Price · $4.76 · 6.8 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 74.27% · 394 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 54 openings · below min 7 days · 212 openings · below min 30 days · 394 openings · below min since tracking started · 394 openings · below min 2.0% 97.5% 193.0% **Small sample.** 394 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7593666-5percent-knifeeeeeeeee-1789515300011?window=24h) | 54 | 2.61% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7593666-5percent-knifeeeeeeeee-1789515300011?window=7d) | 212 | 103.57% ±88.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7593666-5percent-knifeeeeeeeee-1789515300011) | 394 | 74.27% ±50.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/7593666-5percent-knifeeeeeeeee-1789515300011?window=all) | 394 | 74.27% ±50.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) Hidden $4.55 6.5 coins $285 407 coins 62.57x 2026-11-09 13:41 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) Hidden $4.55 6.5 coins $285 407 coins 62.57x 2026-11-09 01:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=7593666-5percent-knifeeeeeeeee-1789515300011) [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) [Henry](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Henry) $4.55 6.5 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-13 03:14 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $4.55 6.5 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-13 03:14 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $4.55 6.5 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-13 03:14 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $4.55 6.5 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-13 03:14 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) [Henry](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Henry) $4.55 6.5 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-13 03:13 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $4.55 6.5 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-13 03:13 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $4.55 6.5 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-13 03:13 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $4.55 6.5 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-13 03:13 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) [Henry](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Henry) $4.55 6.5 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-13 03:13 UTC [Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $4.55 6.5 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.03x 2026-11-13 03:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $285 (62.57x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $74.27 on average: an expected loss of $25.73 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt