--- title: "Addicted case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Addicted ($145.26) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 11 items with odds, observed 91.81% over 1,893 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/addicted rendered: 2026-11-11T12:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Addicted](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/addicted) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Addicted A case on CSGORoll (partners), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/addicted?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/addicted?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/addicted) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/addicted?window=all) Price · $145.26 · 208 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $132.06 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.81% · 1,893 openings, odds method Variance · 99.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 28 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 180.06% ±101.45 373 openings 7 days · 92.76% ±47.40 1,694 openings 30 days · 91.81% ±44.79 1,893 openings since tracking started · 91.81% ±44.79 1,893 openings 44.5% 163.2% 282.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/addicted?window=24h) | 373 | 180.06% ±101.4 | +1.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/addicted?window=7d) | 1,694 | 92.76% ±47.4 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/addicted) | 1,893 | 91.81% ±44.8 | +0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/addicted?window=all) | 1,893 | 91.81% ±44.8 | +0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,893 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $63.7K 90,950 coins | 24.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 667 | $5,978 8,540 coins | 6.8% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.41× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 67 | $957 1,367 coins | 10.9% | 33 | 28.4 | 1.16× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $714 1,020 coins | 10.0% | 39 | 35.0 | 1.11× | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $474 677 coins | 16.7% | 72 | 88.0 | 0.82× | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $385 550 coins | 9.6% | 54 | 62.5 | 0.86× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $298 425 coins | 8.0% | 63 | 67.2 | 0.94× | | [G3SG1 \| Chronos (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-chronos-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $272 388 coins | 5.8% | 54 | 53.0 | 1.02× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $264 377 coins | 4.3% | 36 | 40.7 | 0.88× | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $162 232 coins | 3.1% | 34 | 47.3 | 0.72× | | [P2000 \| Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) | 77.5% | $1.36 1.94 coins | 0.8% | 1,503 | 1467.1 | 1.02× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $145 208 coins $63.7K 90,950 coins 438.3x 2026-11-10 13:34 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $147 211 coins $6,062 8,660 coins 41.12x 2026-11-05 23:38 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $147 211 coins $6,062 8,660 coins 41.12x 2026-11-04 18:41 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $147 211 coins $6,062 8,660 coins 41.12x 2026-11-04 10:27 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $145 208 coins $5,978 8,540 coins 41.15x 2026-11-09 04:17 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $145 208 coins $957 1,367 coins 6.59x 2026-11-10 18:48 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $145 208 coins $957 1,367 coins 6.59x 2026-11-10 18:48 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $145 208 coins $957 1,367 coins 6.59x 2026-11-10 18:47 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $145 208 coins $957 1,367 coins 6.59x 2026-11-10 18:46 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $145 208 coins $957 1,367 coins 6.59x 2026-11-10 16:37 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=addicted) [P2000 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) Hidden $145 208 coins $1.36 1.94 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [P2000 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $145 208 coins $1.36 1.94 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [P2000 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) Hidden $145 208 coins $1.36 1.94 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [P2000 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $145 208 coins $1.36 1.94 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [P2000 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) Hidden $145 208 coins $1.36 1.94 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [P2000 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $145 208 coins $1.36 1.94 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [P2000 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) Hidden $145 208 coins $1.36 1.94 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [P2000 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $145 208 coins $1.36 1.94 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [P2000 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $145 208 coins $1.36 1.94 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) Hidden $145 208 coins $162 232 coins 1.12x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $145 | 90.91% | 11 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $145 | 90.91% | 11 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $147 | 90.91% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% covert 9.6% classified 4.7% restricted 6.1% extraordinary 2.1% mil spec 77.5% best hit $63.7K (438.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt