--- title: "Adrenaline case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Adrenaline ($22.80) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 20 items with odds, observed 90.96% over 949 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/adrenaline rendered: 2026-11-11T13:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Adrenaline](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/adrenaline) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Adrenaline A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/adrenaline?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/adrenaline?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/adrenaline) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/adrenaline?window=all) Price · $22.80 · 32.57 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $20.73 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.96% · 949 openings, odds method Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 17.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 40 openings · below min 7 days · 88.64% ±8.99 863 openings 30 days · 90.96% ±8.57 949 openings since tracking started · 90.96% ±8.57 949 openings 41.0% 84.0% 127.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/adrenaline?window=24h) | 40 | 84.09% ±42.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/adrenaline?window=7d) | 863 | 88.64% ±8.99 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/adrenaline) | 949 | 90.96% ±8.57 | +0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/adrenaline?window=all) | 949 | 90.96% ±8.57 | +0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 953 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 13,333 | $563 804 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 13,333 | $458 654 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 625 | $225 322 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| Cloud9 (Foil) \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-foil-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 200 | $200 285 coins | 4.8% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.05× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,111 | $183 261 coins | 0.8% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $118 169 coins | 10.3% | 23 | 17.2 | 1.34× | | [Sticker \| keshandr (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 40 | $104 149 coins | 12.6% | 23 | 23.8 | 0.97× | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $66.79 95.42 coins | 16.1% | 48 | 47.7 | 1.01× | | [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $61.89 88.42 coins | 2.5% | 10 | 8.0 | 1.26× | | [Sticker \| Flash Gaming (Holo) \| Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flash-gaming-holo-boston-2018) | 1 in 15 | $43.42 62.03 coins | 13.6% | 56 | 61.9 | 0.90× | | [Sticker \| Vega Squadron (Foil) \| Boston 2018 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vega-squadron-foil-boston-2018) | 1 in 14 | $31.20 44.57 coins | 10.4% | 59 | 65.8 | 0.90× | | [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $30.49 43.56 coins | 4.3% | 25 | 27.6 | 0.90× | | [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $19.94 28.48 coins | 6.4% | 76 | 63.9 | 1.19× | | [Patch \| Meal Time patch · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-meal-time) | 1 in 14 | $13.05 18.64 coins | 4.4% | 62 | 66.7 | 0.93× | | [Sticker \| Miami Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-skill-surf-holo) | 1 in 14 | $8.58 12.26 coins | 2.9% | 78 | 66.7 | 1.17× | | [Sticker \| Akihabara Accept Surf Ava (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akihabara-accept-surf-ava-foil) | 1 in 14 | $6.83 9.76 coins | 2.4% | 70 | 69.6 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| Sticker Bomb Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sticker-bomb-surf-k-foil) | 1 in 12 | $4.45 6.36 coins | 1.8% | 72 | 79.1 | 0.91× | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-hard-water-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $4.44 6.35 coins | 2.1% | 98 | 95.3 | 1.03× | | [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-blue-streak-well-worn) | 10.5% | $3.24 4.63 coins | 1.6% | 100 | 100.1 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| Great Wave sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave) | 16.0% | $1.08 1.54 coins | 0.8% | 147 | 152.5 | 0.96× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=adrenaline) [Sticker | Sticker Bomb Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sticker-bomb-surf-k-foil) Hidden $22.80 32.57 coins $4.45 6.36 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 09:52 UTC [Sticker | Vega Squadron (Foil) | Boston 2018 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vega-squadron-foil-boston-2018) [Veckans](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Veckans) $22.80 32.57 coins $31.20 44.57 coins 1.37x 2026-11-11 09:52 UTC [Sticker | Flash Gaming (Holo) | Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flash-gaming-holo-boston-2018) Hidden $22.80 32.57 coins $43.42 62.03 coins 1.90x 2026-11-11 09:52 UTC [Patch | Meal Time patch · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-meal-time) [Gigachad](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Gigachad) $22.80 32.57 coins $13.05 18.64 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 09:52 UTC [Sticker | Akihabara Accept Surf Ava (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akihabara-accept-surf-ava-foil) [Axiomatic csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Axiomatic%20csgoroll.com) $22.80 32.57 coins $6.83 9.76 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 02:25 UTC [Sticker | Akihabara Accept Surf Ava (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akihabara-accept-surf-ava-foil) Hidden $22.80 32.57 coins $6.83 9.76 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 02:25 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Hard Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-hard-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $22.80 32.57 coins $4.44 6.35 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 02:25 UTC [Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $22.80 32.57 coins $19.94 28.48 coins 0.87x 2026-11-11 02:25 UTC [Sticker | Great Wave sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave) Hidden $22.80 32.57 coins $1.08 1.54 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 02:22 UTC [Sticker | Sticker Bomb Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sticker-bomb-surf-k-foil) [Axiomatic csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Axiomatic%20csgoroll.com) $22.80 32.57 coins $4.45 6.36 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 02:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $22.80 | 90.91% | 20 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $23.20 | 90.91% | 20 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $23.09 | 90.91% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% classified 8.9% exotic 23.0% rare 0.1% restricted 12.3% remarkable 23.0% industrial 6.7% mil spec 10.0% high 16.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt