--- title: "Amethyst case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Amethyst ($42.59) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 23 items with odds, observed 90.49% over 1,141 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/amethyst rendered: 2026-11-11T14:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Amethyst](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/amethyst) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Amethyst A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/amethyst?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/amethyst?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/amethyst) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/amethyst?window=all) Price · $42.59 · 60.84 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $38.72 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.49% · 1,141 openings, odds method Variance · 8.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 34 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 40 openings · below min 7 days · 92.20% ±18.70 979 openings 30 days · 90.49% ±17.32 1,141 openings since tracking started · 90.49% ±17.32 1,141 openings -0.5% 89.8% 180.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/amethyst?window=24h) | 40 | 86.81% ±92.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/amethyst?window=7d) | 979 | 92.20% ±18.7 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/amethyst) | 1,141 | 90.49% ±17.3 | −0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/amethyst?window=all) | 1,141 | 90.49% ±17.3 | −0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,141 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $920 1,315 coins | 11.9% | 12 | 5.7 | 2.10× | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $911 1,302 coins | 11.8% | 4 | 5.7 | 0.70× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 200 | $855 1,221 coins | 11.0% | 4 | 5.7 | 0.70× | | [★ Karambit \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $570 814 coins | 7.4% | 5 | 5.7 | 0.88× | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $445 636 coins | 10.3% | 7 | 10.3 | 0.68× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $383 547 coins | 7.9% | 9 | 9.1 | 0.99× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $183 261 coins | 4.7% | 10 | 11.4 | 0.88× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $168 240 coins | 2.2% | 4 | 5.7 | 0.70× | | [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 87 | $142 203 coins | 4.2% | 11 | 13.1 | 0.84× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $75.60 108 coins | 2.5% | 13 | 14.8 | 0.88× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $52.51 75.02 coins | 3.4% | 27 | 28.5 | 0.95× | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $44.47 63.53 coins | 3.4% | 33 | 34.2 | 0.96× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $42.11 60.15 coins | 1.6% | 32 | 17.1 | 1.87× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $42.11 60.15 coins | 2.0% | 18 | 20.5 | 0.88× | | [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $21.48 30.69 coins | 2.2% | 46 | 45.6 | 1.01× | | [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $21.34 30.48 coins | 1.1% | 22 | 22.8 | 0.96× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $18.54 26.48 coins | 3.1% | 59 | 74.2 | 0.80× | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $15.79 22.56 coins | 2.0% | 57 | 57.1 | 1.00× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Nitro (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-nitro-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $10.66 15.23 coins | 1.7% | 68 | 68.5 | 0.99× | | [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-factory-new) | 18.0% | $7.15 10.21 coins | 3.3% | 202 | 205.4 | 0.98× | | [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $3.37 4.81 coins | 0.7% | 74 | 91.3 | 0.81× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $2.94 4.2 coins | 1.1% | 202 | 171.2 | 1.18× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 19.1% | $0.68 0.97 coins | 0.3% | 222 | 217.4 | 1.02× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) Hidden $42.60 60.85 coins $920 1,315 coins 21.61x 2026-11-10 15:53 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) Hidden $42.60 60.85 coins $920 1,315 coins 21.61x 2026-11-10 06:37 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) Hidden $42.60 60.85 coins $920 1,315 coins 21.61x 2026-11-09 23:15 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) Hidden $42.60 60.85 coins $920 1,315 coins 21.61x 2026-11-09 12:58 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) Hidden $42.60 60.85 coins $920 1,315 coins 21.61x 2026-11-09 02:48 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) Hidden $42.60 60.85 coins $920 1,315 coins 21.61x 2026-11-09 02:48 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $42.60 60.85 coins $911 1,302 coins 21.40x 2026-11-09 13:04 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $42.64 60.92 coins $911 1,302 coins 21.37x 2026-11-08 14:32 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Nxxh](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Nxxh) $42.64 60.91 coins $911 1,302 coins 21.38x 2026-11-06 20:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [SammyB](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/SammyB) $42.64 60.91 coins $911 1,302 coins 21.38x 2026-11-03 21:28 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=amethyst) [MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) Hidden $42.60 60.85 coins $3.39 4.85 coins 0.08x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $42.60 60.85 coins $75.60 108 coins 1.77x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $42.60 60.85 coins $75.60 108 coins 1.77x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-factory-new) [MASON92J](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/MASON92J) $42.60 60.85 coins $7.15 10.21 coins 0.17x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) Hidden $42.60 60.85 coins $2.94 4.2 coins 0.07x 2026-11-10 16:05 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) Hidden $42.60 60.85 coins $0.68 0.97 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:05 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) Hidden $42.60 60.85 coins $2.94 4.2 coins 0.07x 2026-11-10 16:05 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) Hidden $42.60 60.85 coins $0.68 0.97 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:05 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) Hidden $42.60 60.85 coins $2.94 4.2 coins 0.07x 2026-11-10 16:05 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) [miami](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/miami) $42.60 60.85 coins $2.94 4.2 coins 0.07x 2026-11-10 16:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 10 Nov, 20:20 UTC | $42.59 | 90.91% | 23 | | 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $42.60 | 90.90% | 23 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $42.60 | 90.91% | 23 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $42.42 | 90.91% | 23 | | 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $42.64 | 90.91% | 23 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $42.64 | 90.91% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.5% epic 0.5% covert 10.9% rare 1.5% classified 20.0% restricted 17.0% pink 6.5% mil spec 43.0% best hit $920 (21.61x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt