--- title: "Anchor case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Anchor ($5.45) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.96% from 12 items with odds, observed 91.18% over 29K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anchor rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Anchor](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anchor) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Anchor A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anchor?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anchor?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anchor) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anchor?window=all) Price · $5.45 · 7.78 coins Advertised RTP · 90.96% · EV $4.95 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.18% · 29K openings, odds method Variance · 9.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 21 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.11% ±9.54 3,918 openings 7 days · 90.96% ±3.91 23.8K openings 30 days · 91.18% ±3.54 29K openings since tracking started · 91.18% ±3.54 29K openings 77.0% 87.3% 97.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anchor?window=24h) | 3,918 | 87.11% ±9.54 | −0.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anchor?window=7d) | 23.8K | 90.96% ±3.91 | −0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anchor) | 29K | 91.18% ±3.54 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anchor?window=all) | 29K | 91.18% ±3.54 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 29.1K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $172 246 coins | 17.4% | 152 | 145.3 | 1.05× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $160 228 coins | 0.3% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.72× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 2,000 | $121 173 coins | 1.2% | 10 | 14.5 | 0.69× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $95.20 136 coins | 1.0% | 15 | 14.5 | 1.03× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $52.26 74.66 coins | 21.1% | 573 | 581.3 | 0.99× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $51.72 73.88 coins | 2.1% | 50 | 58.1 | 0.86× | | [Operation Riptide Premium Pass other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-riptide-premium-pass) | 1 in 50 | $44.00 62.86 coins | 17.8% | 565 | 581.3 | 0.97× | | [MAG-7 \| Prism Terrace (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-prism-terrace-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $28.55 40.78 coins | 5.8% | 307 | 290.7 | 1.06× | | [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-battle-scarred) | 1 in 31 | $27.05 38.65 coins | 17.4% | 949 | 927.2 | 1.02× | | [Desert Eagle \| Night (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $12.75 18.22 coins | 7.7% | 864 | 871.9 | 0.99× | | [FAMAS \| Hexane (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-hexane-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $5.04 7.2 coins | 8.1% | 2,330 | 2325.2 | 1.00× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 80.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 23,245 | 23252.0 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=anchor) [Operation Riptide Premium Pass other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-riptide-premium-pass) Hidden $5.45 7.78 coins $44.00 62.86 coins 8.08x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [MAG-7 | Prism Terrace (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-prism-terrace-factory-new) [Brumla](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Brumla) $5.45 7.78 coins $28.55 40.78 coins 5.24x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $5.45 7.78 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [FAMAS | Hexane (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-hexane-factory-new) Hidden $5.45 7.78 coins $5.04 7.2 coins 0.93x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $5.45 7.78 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $5.45 7.78 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Brumla](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Brumla) $5.45 7.78 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [MAC-10 | Propaganda (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.45 7.78 coins $27.05 38.65 coins 4.97x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $5.45 7.78 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $5.45 7.78 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $5.45 | 90.96% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $5.40 | 90.92% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $5.44 | 90.95% | 12 | | 6 Nov, 10:50 UTC | $5.44 | 90.96% | 12 | | 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | $5.42 | 90.93% | 12 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $5.43 | 90.97% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.8% extraordinary 0.1% base 2.0% restricted 1.0% classified 3.2% industrial 3.0% mil spec 8.0% consumer 80.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.96 on average: an expected loss of $9.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt