---
title: "Angel case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Angel ($112.41) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 24 items with odds, observed 86.87% over 62 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angel
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Angel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angel)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Angel

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angel?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angel?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angel) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angel?window=all)

Price · $112.41 · 161 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $102.19 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.87% · 62 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 23.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 62 openings · below min

30 days · 62 openings · below min

since tracking started · 62 openings · below min

52.5% 86.8% 121.0%

**Small sample.** 62 openings and 14.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angel?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angel?window=7d) | 62 | 86.87% ±33.5 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angel) | 62 | 86.87% ±33.5 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angel?window=all) | 62 | 86.87% ±33.5 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 62 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 5,000 | $6,510 9,300 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,857 | $4,263 6,090 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,255 1,793 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,142 1,631 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $999 1,427 coins | 1.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 286 | $563 804 coins | 1.9% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $388 554 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $349 498 coins | 3.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $262 374 coins | 3.8% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 20.3% | $211 301 coins | 41.8% | 7 | 12.6 | 0.56× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Leather (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $200 285 coins | 4.9% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $162 232 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $144 205 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $142 203 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $131 187 coins | 1.6% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $105 150 coins | 4.6% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.08× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $95.90 137 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $80.50 115 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 12.0% | $78.40 112 coins | 9.2% | 8 | 7.4 | 1.08× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $71.40 102 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) | 15.0% | $44.47 63.53 coins | 6.5% | 13 | 9.3 | 1.40× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $33.26 47.52 coins | 2.1% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.24× |
| [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) | 26.2% | $25.77 36.81 coins | 6.6% | 20 | 16.2 | 1.23× |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $13.55 19.35 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-minimal-wear) Hidden $112 161 coins $1,020 1,457 coins 9.07x 2026-11-06 21:07 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) [Liberties](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Liberties) $112 161 coins $552 788 coins 4.90x 2026-11-07 12:13 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=angel)

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) Hidden $112 161 coins $211 301 coins 1.87x 2026-11-10 13:44 UTC

[MP9 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-minimal-wear) Hidden $112 161 coins $262 374 coins 2.33x 2026-11-10 13:44 UTC

[USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $112 161 coins $25.77 36.81 coins 0.23x 2026-11-10 13:44 UTC

[USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $112 161 coins $25.77 36.81 coins 0.23x 2026-11-10 13:44 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) Hidden $112 161 coins $211 301 coins 1.87x 2026-11-10 13:44 UTC

[USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) [Winja](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Winja) $112 161 coins $25.77 36.81 coins 0.23x 2026-11-10 13:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) Hidden $112 161 coins $44.47 63.53 coins 0.40x 2026-11-10 13:43 UTC

[USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $112 161 coins $25.77 36.81 coins 0.23x 2026-11-10 13:43 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) Hidden $112 161 coins $44.47 63.53 coins 0.40x 2026-11-10 13:43 UTC

[AK-47 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) [Winja](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Winja) $112 161 coins $105 150 coins 0.93x 2026-11-10 13:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $112 | 90.91% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $113 | 90.91% | 24 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $112 | 90.91% | 24 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 43.9% extraordinary 12.6% restricted 2.3% classified 15.0% mil spec 26.2% best hit $1,020 (9.07x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
