--- title: "Angler case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Angler ($90.57) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 13 items with odds, observed 81.65% over 1,677 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angler rendered: 2026-11-11T14:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Angler](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angler) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Angler A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angler?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angler?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angler) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angler?window=all) Price · $90.57 · 129 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $82.34 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.65% · 1,677 openings, odds method Variance · 8.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 80.74% ±26.73 430 openings 7 days · 82.81% ±14.86 1,385 openings 30 days · 81.65% ±13.50 1,677 openings since tracking started · 81.65% ±13.50 1,677 openings 53.5% 80.8% 108.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angler?window=24h) | 430 | 80.74% ±26.7 | −0.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angler?window=7d) | 1,385 | 82.81% ±14.9 | −1.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angler) | 1,677 | 81.65% ±13.5 | −1.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/angler?window=all) | 1,677 | 81.65% ±13.5 | −1.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,677 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $7,521 10,745 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,454 3,505 coins | 1.5% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 500 | $1,514 2,163 coins | 3.7% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.19× | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,467 2,096 coins | 0.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Negev \| Mjölnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $1,397 1,996 coins | 33.9% | 23 | 33.5 | 0.69× | | [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $536 766 coins | 6.5% | 10 | 16.8 | 0.60× | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $492 703 coins | 12.0% | 33 | 33.5 | 0.98× | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $445 636 coins | 16.2% | 54 | 50.3 | 1.07× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $360 514 coins | 13.9% | 53 | 53.5 | 0.99× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $356 508 coins | 2.2% | 13 | 8.4 | 1.55× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 13 | $85.40 122 coins | 8.3% | 145 | 134.2 | 1.08× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 40.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 713 | 670.8 | 1.06× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 40.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 627 | 670.8 | 0.93× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $91.01 130 coins $2,461 3,515 coins 27.04x 2026-11-04 14:55 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $91.01 130 coins $1,556 2,223 coins 17.10x 2026-11-07 18:16 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $91.01 130 coins $1,556 2,223 coins 17.10x 2026-11-07 15:50 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $91.01 130 coins $1,556 2,223 coins 17.10x 2026-11-06 10:51 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) [Falken](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Falken) $91.01 130 coins $1,556 2,223 coins 17.10x 2026-11-04 13:01 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $90.57 129 coins $1,467 2,096 coins 16.20x 2026-11-11 01:58 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-battle-scarred) Hidden $90.57 129 coins $1,397 1,996 coins 15.43x 2026-11-11 09:27 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-battle-scarred) Hidden $90.57 129 coins $1,397 1,996 coins 15.43x 2026-11-11 02:02 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-battle-scarred) Hidden $90.57 129 coins $1,397 1,996 coins 15.43x 2026-11-11 02:02 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-battle-scarred) Hidden $90.57 129 coins $1,397 1,996 coins 15.43x 2026-11-10 23:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=angler) [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $90.57 129 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:53 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $90.57 129 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:53 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $90.57 129 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:53 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Sprellarinn](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Sprellarinn) $90.57 129 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:53 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $90.57 129 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $90.57 129 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [karma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/karma) $90.57 129 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) Hidden $90.57 129 coins $85.40 122 coins 0.94x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $90.57 129 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:32 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $90.57 129 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $90.57 | 90.91% | 13 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $91.01 | 90.91% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 16.0% classified 2.0% epic 2.0% consumer 80.0% best hit $2,461 (27.04x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt