---
title: "Anime case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Anime ($39.24) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 19 items with odds, observed 91.04% over 402 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anime
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:41Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Anime](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anime)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Anime

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anime?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anime?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anime) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anime?window=all)

Price · $39.24 · 56.06 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $35.68 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.04% · 402 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 37 openings · below min

7 days · 92.44% ±13.80 346 openings

30 days · 91.04% ±12.81 402 openings

since tracking started · 91.04% ±12.81 402 openings

33.5% 76.0% 118.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anime?window=24h) | 37 | 75.94% ±42.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anime?window=7d) | 346 | 92.44% ±13.8 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anime) | 402 | 91.04% ±12.8 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/anime?window=all) | 402 | 91.04% ±12.8 | +0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 402 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,047 1,495 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $844 1,205 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $377 538 coins | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $336 480 coins | 1.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $202 288 coins | 2.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $162 231 coins | 4.5% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.24× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $158 226 coins | 1.3% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.66× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $154 220 coins | 3.5% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.62× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $152 217 coins | 6.4% | 6 | 6.0 | 1.00× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 12.0% | $97.30 139 coins | 32.7% | 43 | 48.2 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $94.50 135 coins | 5.3% | 9 | 8.0 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $65.56 93.66 coins | 5.5% | 17 | 12.1 | 1.41× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $59.44 84.91 coins | 4.2% | 16 | 10.1 | 1.59× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-shinobu-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $37.63 53.76 coins | 4.2% | 10 | 16.1 | 0.62× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $17.19 24.55 coins | 2.4% | 21 | 20.1 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-mount-fuji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $15.67 22.39 coins | 3.1% | 25 | 28.1 | 0.89× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) | 18.0% | $11.57 16.53 coins | 5.8% | 73 | 72.4 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-factory-new) | 26.0% | $11.31 16.16 coins | 8.2% | 112 | 104.5 | 1.07× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-factory-new) | 16.0% | $10.31 14.73 coins | 4.6% | 57 | 64.3 | 0.89× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=anime)

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-mount-fuji-minimal-wear) Hidden $39.24 56.06 coins $15.67 22.39 coins 0.40x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) Hidden $39.24 56.06 coins $11.57 16.53 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-mount-fuji-minimal-wear) Hidden $39.24 56.06 coins $15.67 22.39 coins 0.40x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-factory-new) Hidden $39.24 56.06 coins $11.31 16.16 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $39.24 56.06 coins $97.30 139 coins 2.48x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-factory-new) [🔸Regular🔸](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%F0%9F%94%B8Regular%F0%9F%94%B8) $39.24 56.06 coins $11.31 16.16 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-factory-new) Hidden $39.24 56.06 coins $11.31 16.16 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-factory-new) Hidden $39.24 56.06 coins $11.31 16.16 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-shinobu-factory-new) [🔸Regular🔸](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%F0%9F%94%B8Regular%F0%9F%94%B8) $39.24 56.06 coins $37.63 53.76 coins 0.96x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) Hidden $39.24 56.06 coins $11.57 16.53 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $39.24 | 90.91% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $39.34 | 90.92% | 19 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $39.14 | 90.92% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 21.2% epic 0.3% classified 36.5% rare 9.0% restricted 33.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt