--- title: "Archeology case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Archeology ($395.88) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 12 items with odds, observed 92.12% over 348 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/archeology rendered: 2026-11-11T17:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Archeology](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/archeology) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Archeology A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/archeology?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/archeology?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/archeology) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/archeology?window=all) Price · $395.88 · 566 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $359.89 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.12% · 348 openings, odds method Variance · 10.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 93.74% ±34.17 342 openings 30 days · 92.12% ±33.87 348 openings since tracking started · 92.12% ±33.87 348 openings -0.5% 237.8% 476.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/archeology?window=24h) | 6 | 217.05% ±258.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/archeology?window=7d) | 342 | 93.74% ±34.2 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/archeology) | 348 | 92.12% ±33.9 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/archeology?window=all) | 348 | 92.12% ±33.9 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 348 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $6,941 9,915 coins | 19.3% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.15× | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $6,787 9,695 coins | 18.9% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.57× | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $5,688 8,125 coins | 15.8% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.15× | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $5,156 7,365 coins | 14.3% | 5 | 3.5 | 1.44× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $2,716 3,880 coins | 7.5% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.15× | | [AWP \| Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $2,100 3,000 coins | 5.8% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.86× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,879 2,685 coins | 5.2% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.57× | | [AWP \| The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,809 2,585 coins | 5.0% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.57× | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $1,545 2,207 coins | 4.3% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.86× | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,369 1,955 coins | 3.8% | 6 | 3.5 | 1.72× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 45.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 171 | 156.6 | 1.09× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 45.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 142 | 156.6 | 0.91× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) Hidden $403 575 coins $7,112 10,160 coins 17.66x 2026-11-06 19:42 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [🟢Kick: JULSY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%F0%9F%9F%A2Kick%3A%20JULSY) $403 575 coins $7,112 10,160 coins 17.66x 2026-11-05 18:41 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) Hidden $403 575 coins $6,930 9,900 coins 17.21x 2026-11-06 15:55 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) [stzy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/stzy) $403 575 coins $6,930 9,900 coins 17.21x 2026-11-06 05:13 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) Hidden $403 575 coins $6,930 9,900 coins 17.21x 2026-11-05 19:30 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) Hidden $403 575 coins $6,930 9,900 coins 17.21x 2026-11-05 18:45 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $403 575 coins $5,688 8,125 coins 14.13x 2026-11-07 18:23 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) [Der beste Uwe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Der%20beste%20Uwe) $403 575 coins $5,688 8,125 coins 14.13x 2026-11-07 18:23 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $403 575 coins $5,688 8,125 coins 14.13x 2026-11-07 18:23 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $403 575 coins $5,688 8,125 coins 14.13x 2026-11-06 15:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=archeology) [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $396 566 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $396 566 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $396 566 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $396 566 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $396 566 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) Hidden $396 566 coins $5,156 7,365 coins 13.02x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $396 566 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:25 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $396 566 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:25 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $396 566 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:25 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $396 566 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $396 | 90.91% | 12 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $403 | 90.91% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 6.0% contraband 1.0% extraordinary 1.0% legendary 2.0% consumer 90.0% best hit $7,112 (17.66x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt