---
title: "Artwork case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Artwork ($2.92) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.98% from 19 items with odds, observed 89.76% over 16.4K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/artwork
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:15Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Artwork](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/artwork)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Artwork

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/artwork?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/artwork?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/artwork) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/artwork?window=all)

Price · $2.92 · 4.17 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.98% · EV $2.66 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.76% · 16.4K openings, odds method

Variance · 6.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.85% ±11.36 1,931 openings

7 days · 90.26% ±4.14 14.3K openings

30 days · 89.76% ±3.87 16.4K openings

since tracking started · 89.76% ±3.87 16.4K openings

82.0% 94.0% 106.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/artwork?window=24h) | 1,931 | 93.85% ±11.4 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/artwork?window=7d) | 14.3K | 90.26% ±4.14 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/artwork) | 16.4K | 89.76% ±3.87 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/artwork?window=all) | 16.4K | 89.76% ±3.87 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16.4K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $118 169 coins | 4.5% | 19 | 16.4 | 1.16× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $94.50 135 coins | 3.6% | 16 | 16.4 | 0.97× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $80.50 115 coins | 9.1% | 45 | 49.3 | 0.91× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $23.76 33.94 coins | 17.9% | 307 | 328.8 | 0.93× |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $13.33 19.04 coins | 15.1% | 491 | 493.2 | 1.00× |
| [Rezan The Ready \| Sabre agent · superior](https://gambatracker.com/items/rezan-the-ready-sabre) | 1 in 50 | $5.29 7.56 coins | 4.0% | 326 | 328.8 | 0.99× |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $5.11 7.3 coins | 5.8% | 494 | 493.2 | 1.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $4.05 5.78 coins | 4.6% | 504 | 493.2 | 1.02× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $3.46 4.94 coins | 3.9% | 470 | 493.2 | 0.95× |
| [Patch \| El Pirata patch · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-el-pirata) | 1 in 33 | $2.81 4.02 coins | 3.2% | 508 | 493.2 | 1.03× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $2.23 3.18 coins | 5.0% | 1,052 | 986.4 | 1.07× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1.37 1.95 coins | 1.5% | 488 | 493.2 | 0.99× |
| [XM1014 \| Seasons (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $1.13 1.62 coins | 1.7% | 653 | 657.6 | 0.99× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $1.11 1.58 coins | 6.2% | 2,473 | 2466.0 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.99 1.41 coins | 2.6% | 1,108 | 1150.8 | 0.96× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.95 1.36 coins | 5.4% | 2,451 | 2466.0 | 0.99× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $0.91 1.3 coins | 2.1% | 979 | 986.4 | 0.99× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $0.90 1.28 coins | 2.4% | 1,111 | 1150.8 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| Watermelon Stabbyfish sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-watermelon-stabbyfish) | 17.5% | $0.24 0.35 coins | 1.6% | 2,945 | 2877.0 | 1.02× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=artwork)

[Patch | El Pirata patch · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-el-pirata) Hidden $2.92 4.17 coins $2.81 4.02 coins 0.96x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC

[Sticker | Watermelon Stabbyfish sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-watermelon-stabbyfish) Hidden $2.92 4.17 coins $0.24 0.35 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.92 4.17 coins $2.23 3.18 coins 0.76x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC

[Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) [Vobbe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Vobbe) $2.92 4.17 coins $0.99 1.41 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $2.92 4.17 coins $0.95 1.36 coins 0.33x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[M4A4 | Griffin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.92 4.17 coins $5.11 7.3 coins 1.75x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[Sticker | Watermelon Stabbyfish sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-watermelon-stabbyfish) Hidden $2.92 4.17 coins $0.24 0.35 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[XM1014 | Seasons (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-well-worn) [Vobbe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Vobbe) $2.92 4.17 coins $1.13 1.62 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $2.92 4.17 coins $1.37 1.95 coins 0.47x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC

[Sticker | Watermelon Stabbyfish sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-watermelon-stabbyfish) Hidden $2.92 4.17 coins $0.24 0.35 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:20 UTC | $2.92 | 90.98% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 14:08 UTC | $2.92 | 90.93% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $2.93 | 90.81% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $2.93 | 90.89% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $2.93 | 90.94% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $2.88 | 90.81% | 19 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $2.88 | 90.91% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 10:50 UTC | $2.88 | 90.83% | 19 |
| 4 Nov, 22:33 UTC | $2.88 | 90.90% | 19 |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | $2.87 | 91.02% | 19 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $2.88 | 90.84% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 21.1% covert 0.4% restricted 30.0% mil spec 13.0% superior 2.0% high 20.5% Rare 7.0% industrial 6.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.98 on average: an expected loss of $9.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt