--- title: "Atlantic case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Atlantic ($62.69) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 18 items with odds, observed 93.15% over 7,613 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/atlantic rendered: 2026-11-11T13:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Atlantic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/atlantic) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Atlantic A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/atlantic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/atlantic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/atlantic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/atlantic?window=all) Price · $62.69 · 89.56 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $56.99 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.15% · 7,613 openings, odds method Variance · 12.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 28 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 85.76% ±22.38 960 openings 7 days · 94.30% ±8.88 6,035 openings 30 days · 93.15% ±7.90 7,613 openings since tracking started · 93.15% ±7.90 7,613 openings 62.5% 85.8% 109.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/atlantic?window=24h) | 960 | 85.76% ±22.4 | −0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/atlantic?window=7d) | 6,035 | 94.30% ±8.88 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/atlantic) | 7,613 | 93.15% ±7.90 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/atlantic?window=all) | 7,613 | 93.15% ±7.90 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,613 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $11.6K 16,550 coins | 2.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 5,000 | $4,669 6,670 coins | 1.6% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $3,458 4,940 coins | 1.8% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.31× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,576 2,251 coins | 1.4% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 154 | $1,241 1,773 coins | 14.2% | 49 | 49.5 | 0.99× | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,081 1,544 coins | 1.9% | 3 | 7.6 | 0.39× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,033 1,475 coins | 4.5% | 30 | 19.0 | 1.58× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 667 | $816 1,166 coins | 2.1% | 9 | 11.4 | 0.79× | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 222 | $723 1,033 coins | 5.7% | 34 | 34.3 | 0.99× | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $474 677 coins | 8.3% | 82 | 76.1 | 1.08× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 125 | $467 667 coins | 6.6% | 61 | 60.9 | 1.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $377 539 coins | 16.5% | 194 | 189.6 | 1.02× | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $292 417 coins | 20.5% | 300 | 304.5 | 0.99× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 50 | $291 415 coins | 10.2% | 155 | 152.3 | 1.02× | | [Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $21.53 30.75 coins | 1.1% | 267 | 228.4 | 1.17× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) | 30.0% | $1.20 1.72 coins | 0.6% | 2,178 | 2283.9 | 0.95× | | [MAC-10 \| Lapis Gator (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $0.99 1.41 coins | 0.4% | 1,923 | 1903.3 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Off World (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-off-world-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $0.87 1.24 coins | 0.5% | 2,320 | 2283.9 | 1.02× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $62.69 89.56 coins $11.6K 16,550 coins 184.8x 2026-11-09 16:06 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $64.01 91.44 coins $4,862 6,945 coins 75.95x 2026-11-04 06:38 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $64.01 91.44 coins $3,458 4,940 coins 54.02x 2026-11-05 00:31 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $64.01 91.44 coins $3,458 4,940 coins 54.02x 2026-11-04 22:59 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $64.02 91.45 coins $3,458 4,940 coins 54.02x 2026-11-03 00:21 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [GarrettPictures](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/GarrettPictures) $64.01 91.44 coins $1,539 2,199 coins 24.05x 2026-11-07 19:14 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $64.01 91.44 coins $1,539 2,199 coins 24.05x 2026-11-06 16:08 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $64.02 91.45 coins $1,539 2,199 coins 24.05x 2026-11-03 05:28 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $64.01 91.44 coins $1,269 1,813 coins 19.83x 2026-11-08 15:12 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $64.01 91.44 coins $1,269 1,813 coins 19.83x 2026-11-08 03:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=atlantic) [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) Hidden $62.69 89.56 coins $1.20 1.72 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) Hidden $62.69 89.56 coins $1.20 1.72 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-minimal-wear) Hidden $62.69 89.56 coins $0.99 1.41 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-minimal-wear) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $62.69 89.56 coins $0.99 1.41 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-minimal-wear) Hidden $62.69 89.56 coins $0.99 1.41 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) Hidden $62.69 89.56 coins $1.20 1.72 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-off-world-minimal-wear) Hidden $62.69 89.56 coins $0.87 1.24 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-minimal-wear) Hidden $62.69 89.56 coins $0.99 1.41 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) Hidden $62.69 89.56 coins $1.20 1.72 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-factory-new) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $62.69 89.56 coins $21.53 30.75 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 14:08 UTC | $62.69 | 90.91% | 18 | | 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $62.70 | 90.91% | 18 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $62.73 | 90.91% | 18 | | 3 Nov, 09:32 UTC | $64.01 | 90.91% | 18 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $64.02 | 90.91% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.6% extraordinary 0.0% classified 5.7% legendary 0.3% restricted 5.5% mil spec 85.0% best hit $11.6K (184.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt