--- title: "Avalanche case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Avalanche ($353.00) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 25 items with odds, observed 96.30% over 242 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/avalanche rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Avalanche](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/avalanche) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Avalanche A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/avalanche?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/avalanche?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/avalanche) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/avalanche?window=all) Price · $353.00 · 504 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $320.90 from 25 items Observed RTP, 30d · 96.30% · 242 openings, odds method Variance · 7.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 46 openings · below min 7 days · 85.71% ±37.70 191 openings 30 days · 96.30% ±33.45 242 openings since tracking started · 96.30% ±33.45 242 openings -0.5% 70.8% 142.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/avalanche?window=24h) | 46 | 63.71% ±77.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/avalanche?window=7d) | 191 | 85.71% ±37.7 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/avalanche) | 242 | 96.30% ±33.5 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/avalanche?window=all) | 242 | 96.30% ±33.5 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 242 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $63.7K 90,950 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $9,240 13,200 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 200 | $8,869 12,670 coins | 13.8% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.65× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $2,244 3,205 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $2,037 2,910 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $1,567 2,239 coins | 3.9% | 5 | 1.9 | 2.58× | | [AWP \| The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $1,528 2,183 coins | 1.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $1,474 2,105 coins | 0.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 20 | $1,086 1,552 coins | 16.9% | 10 | 12.1 | 0.83× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $1,067 1,524 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 71 | $788 1,125 coins | 3.4% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.89× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $783 1,119 coins | 3.2% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $767 1,095 coins | 1.0% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 83 | $760 1,086 coins | 2.8% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× | | [MAG-7 \| Cinquedea (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $567 810 coins | 5.3% | 7 | 7.3 | 0.96× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $566 808 coins | 1.1% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.69× | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $563 804 coins | 10.5% | 13 | 14.5 | 0.90× | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $502 717 coins | 1.6% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Chalice (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-chalice-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $342 488 coins | 8.5% | 20 | 19.4 | 1.03× | | [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $210 300 coins | 5.9% | 28 | 21.8 | 1.29× | | [G3SG1 \| Arctic Camo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-factory-new) | 15.0% | $135 193 coins | 6.3% | 26 | 36.3 | 0.72× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $133 190 coins | 0.6% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× | | [★ Classic Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $123 176 coins | 3.5% | 21 | 21.8 | 0.96× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 20.6% | $50.96 72.8 coins | 3.3% | 55 | 49.9 | 1.10× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $46.47 66.38 coins | 2.2% | 39 | 36.3 | 1.07× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $359 512 coins $8,869 12,670 coins 24.73x 2026-11-04 21:31 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $359 512 coins $8,869 12,670 coins 24.73x 2026-11-04 10:50 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $353 504 coins $1,567 2,239 coins 4.44x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) [🟢Kick: JULSY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%F0%9F%9F%A2Kick%3A%20JULSY) $359 512 coins $1,557 2,224 coins 4.34x 2026-11-05 19:03 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $359 512 coins $1,557 2,224 coins 4.34x 2026-11-05 19:02 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $359 512 coins $1,557 2,224 coins 4.34x 2026-11-03 17:23 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $359 512 coins $1,557 2,224 coins 4.34x 2026-11-03 08:44 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) Hidden $359 512 coins $1,477 2,110 coins 4.12x 2026-11-04 12:42 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [Wielando](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Wielando) $353 504 coins $1,474 2,105 coins 4.17x 2026-11-10 16:35 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) [lielfarag70](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/lielfarag70) $359 512 coins $1,120 1,600 coins 3.12x 2026-11-08 02:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=avalanche) [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) Hidden $353 504 coins $50.96 72.8 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 08:41 UTC [USP-S | Target Acquired (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-field-tested) Hidden $353 504 coins $210 300 coins 0.59x 2026-11-11 02:34 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Chalice (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-chalice-factory-new) Hidden $353 504 coins $342 488 coins 0.97x 2026-11-11 02:34 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-minimal-wear) Hidden $353 504 coins $133 190 coins 0.38x 2026-11-11 02:34 UTC [G3SG1 | Arctic Camo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-factory-new) [560 HP](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/560%20HP) $353 504 coins $135 193 coins 0.38x 2026-11-11 02:34 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) Hidden $353 504 coins $50.96 72.8 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $353 504 coins $1,567 2,239 coins 4.44x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $353 504 coins $123 176 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Chalice (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-chalice-factory-new) [560 HP](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/560%20HP) $353 504 coins $342 488 coins 0.97x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [G3SG1 | Arctic Camo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-factory-new) Hidden $353 504 coins $135 193 coins 0.38x 2026-11-10 23:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $353 | 90.91% | 25 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $354 | 90.91% | 25 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $359 | 90.91% | 25 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 1.8% contraband 0.0% covert 33.4% extraordinary 2.4% epic 0.8% classified 32.6% rare 6.0% restricted 8.0% industrial 15.0% best hit $8,869 (24.73x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt