--- title: "Bandaid case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Bandaid ($59.02) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 13 items with odds, observed 91.63% over 1,430 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bandaid rendered: 2026-11-11T15:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Bandaid](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bandaid) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Bandaid A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bandaid?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bandaid?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bandaid) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bandaid?window=all) Price · $59.02 · 84.31 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $53.65 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.63% · 1,430 openings, odds method Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 23.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 64.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 82.09% ±13.66 131 openings 7 days · 93.30% ±4.69 1,069 openings 30 days · 91.63% ±4.04 1,430 openings since tracking started · 91.63% ±4.04 1,430 openings 68.0% 83.3% 98.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bandaid?window=24h) | 131 | 82.09% ±13.7 | −1.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bandaid?window=7d) | 1,069 | 93.30% ±4.69 | +1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bandaid) | 1,430 | 91.63% ±4.04 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bandaid?window=all) | 1,430 | 91.63% ±4.04 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,446 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $189 270 coins | 0.4% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× | | [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $186 266 coins | 21.7% | 83 | 90.4 | 0.92× | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife) | 1 in 2,000 | $157 224 coins | 0.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-factory-new) | 1 in 89 | $121 173 coins | 2.5% | 15 | 16.3 | 0.92× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $107 153 coins | 12.5% | 91 | 90.4 | 1.01× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 444 | $96.60 138 coins | 0.4% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.61× | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $86.10 123 coins | 10.0% | 111 | 90.4 | 1.23× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $78.40 112 coins | 4.7% | 51 | 47.0 | 1.09× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Phase 1) weapon · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-phase-1) | 12.5% | $64.64 92.34 coins | 15.1% | 170 | 180.8 | 0.94× | | [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $51.53 73.61 coins | 1.4% | 24 | 21.7 | 1.11× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 12.5% | $51.29 73.27 coins | 11.9% | 168 | 180.8 | 0.93× | | [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $41.13 58.75 coins | 19.2% | 388 | 361.5 | 1.07× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 341 | 361.5 | 0.94× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=bandaid) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $59.02 84.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $59.02 84.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Phase 1) weapon · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-phase-1) Hidden $59.02 84.31 coins $64.64 92.34 coins 1.10x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [AK-47 | Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) [BeastafiedBeast](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BeastafiedBeast) $59.02 84.31 coins $78.40 112 coins 1.33x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $59.02 84.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:53 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $59.02 84.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:53 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) Hidden $59.02 84.31 coins $107 153 coins 1.81x 2026-11-11 15:53 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-battle-scarred) [BeastafiedBeast](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BeastafiedBeast) $59.02 84.31 coins $41.13 58.75 coins 0.70x 2026-11-11 15:53 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $59.02 84.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) Hidden $59.02 84.31 coins $51.29 73.27 coins 0.87x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $59.02 | 90.91% | 13 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $59.82 | 90.91% | 13 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $59.06 | 90.91% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 37.9% classified 11.0% restricted 26.1% consumer 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt