--- title: "Bangers and Mash case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bangers and Mash ($13.54) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 19 items with odds, observed 93.43% over 1,992 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bangers-and-mash rendered: 2026-11-11T21:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Bangers and Mash](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bangers-and-mash) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Bangers and Mash A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bangers-and-mash?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bangers-and-mash?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bangers-and-mash) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bangers-and-mash?window=all) Price · $13.54 · 19.34 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $12.31 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.43% · 1,992 openings, odds method Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 17.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 92.80% ±15.65 263 openings 7 days · 91.87% ±6.47 1,538 openings 30 days · 93.43% ±5.68 1,992 openings since tracking started · 93.43% ±5.68 1,992 openings 76.5% 92.8% 109.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bangers-and-mash?window=24h) | 263 | 92.80% ±15.7 | +0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bangers-and-mash?window=7d) | 1,538 | 91.87% ±6.47 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bangers-and-mash) | 1,992 | 93.43% ±5.68 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bangers-and-mash?window=all) | 1,992 | 93.43% ±5.68 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,992 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $360 514 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $357 510 coins | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $144 205 coins | 0.6% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $138 197 coins | 2.8% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.20× | | [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $97.30 139 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $95.20 136 coins | 2.3% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.67× | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $76.30 109 coins | 3.1% | 9 | 10.0 | 0.90× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $74.20 106 coins | 4.5% | 10 | 14.9 | 0.67× | | [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $73.50 105 coins | 0.6% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $51.07 72.95 coins | 4.1% | 26 | 19.9 | 1.31× | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $44.47 63.53 coins | 7.2% | 39 | 39.8 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $36.11 51.58 coins | 14.7% | 120 | 99.6 | 1.20× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $24.77 35.38 coins | 14.1% | 134 | 139.4 | 0.96× | | [StatTrak™ Music Kit \| Austin Wintory, The Devil Went Clubbing in Georgia music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-austin-wintory-the-devil-went-clubbing-in-georgia) | 1 in 13 | $23.10 33 coins | 15.0% | 167 | 159.4 | 1.05× | | [Music Kit \| Killer Mike, MICHAEL music kit · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-killer-mike-michael) | 10.0% | $12.56 17.94 coins | 10.2% | 203 | 199.2 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ Music Kit \| Freaky DNA, Vici music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-freaky-dna-vici) | 13.0% | $7.78 11.12 coins | 8.2% | 254 | 259.0 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ Music Kit \| The Verkkars, EZ4ENCE music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-the-verkkars-ez4ence) | 15.0% | $5.56 7.94 coins | 6.8% | 303 | 298.8 | 1.01× | | [Music Kit \| Laura Shigihara: Work Hard, Play Hard music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-laura-shigihara-work-hard-play-hard) | 17.0% | $1.71 2.44 coins | 2.4% | 314 | 338.6 | 0.93× | | [Music Kit \| Jesse Harlin, Astro Bellum music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-jesse-harlin-astro-bellum) | 20.0% | $1.30 1.86 coins | 2.1% | 399 | 398.4 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 20:32 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=bangers-and-mash) [StatTrak™ Music Kit | The Verkkars, EZ4ENCE music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-the-verkkars-ez4ence) Hidden $13.54 19.34 coins $5.56 7.94 coins 0.41x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [Music Kit | Jesse Harlin, Astro Bellum music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-jesse-harlin-astro-bellum) [Hembre](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Hembre) $13.54 19.34 coins $1.30 1.86 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [StatTrak™ Music Kit | The Verkkars, EZ4ENCE music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-the-verkkars-ez4ence) Hidden $13.54 19.34 coins $5.56 7.94 coins 0.41x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [StatTrak™ Music Kit | Freaky DNA, Vici music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-freaky-dna-vici) Hidden $13.54 19.34 coins $7.78 11.12 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [StatTrak™ Music Kit | Austin Wintory, The Devil Went Clubbing in Georgia music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-austin-wintory-the-devil-went-clubbing-in-georgia) Hidden $13.54 19.34 coins $23.10 33 coins 1.71x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) Hidden $13.54 19.34 coins $24.77 35.38 coins 1.83x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [Music Kit | Jesse Harlin, Astro Bellum music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-jesse-harlin-astro-bellum) Hidden $13.54 19.34 coins $1.30 1.86 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC [Music Kit | Killer Mike, MICHAEL music kit · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-killer-mike-michael) Hidden $13.54 19.34 coins $12.56 17.94 coins 0.93x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC [StatTrak™ Music Kit | Freaky DNA, Vici music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-freaky-dna-vici) Hidden $13.54 19.34 coins $7.78 11.12 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC [StatTrak™ Music Kit | Austin Wintory, The Devil Went Clubbing in Georgia music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-austin-wintory-the-devil-went-clubbing-in-georgia) [stekarbosse🤴🏿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/stekarbosse%F0%9F%A4%B4%F0%9F%8F%BF) $13.54 19.34 coins $23.10 33 coins 1.71x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 14:08 UTC | $13.54 | 90.90% | 19 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $13.55 | 90.90% | 19 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $13.59 | 90.91% | 19 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $13.61 | 90.91% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.4% remarkable 0.0% epic 0.1% rare 0.3% classified 14.0% extraordinary 0.3% high 73.0% uncommon 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt