--- title: "Battle Freezer case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Battle Freezer ($181.09) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 14 items with odds, observed 85.54% over 235 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battle-freezer rendered: 2026-11-11T18:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Battle Freezer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battle-freezer) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Battle Freezer A case on CSGORoll (60%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battle-freezer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battle-freezer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battle-freezer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battle-freezer?window=all) Price · $181.09 · 259 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $164.62 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.54% · 235 openings, odds method Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 26.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 45.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 51 openings · below min 7 days · 84.25% ±12.57 191 openings 30 days · 85.54% ±11.34 235 openings since tracking started · 85.54% ±11.34 235 openings 67.5% 92.3% 117.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battle-freezer?window=24h) | 51 | 92.18% ±24.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battle-freezer?window=7d) | 191 | 84.25% ±12.6 | −1.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battle-freezer) | 235 | 85.54% ±11.3 | −0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battle-freezer?window=all) | 235 | 85.54% ±11.3 | −0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 235 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 667 | $1,034 1,477 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 400 | $874 1,248 coins | 1.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $605 864 coins | 18.4% | 11 | 11.8 | 0.94× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $393 561 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 33 | $356 508 coins | 6.5% | 5 | 7.0 | 0.71× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 17.6% | $282 403 coins | 30.2% | 40 | 41.4 | 0.97× | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $274 392 coins | 1.7% | 5 | 2.4 | 2.13× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $225 321 coins | 2.0% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.85× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 16.0% | $190 271 coins | 18.4% | 34 | 37.6 | 0.90× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $188 268 coins | 4.6% | 14 | 9.4 | 1.49× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 17 | $183 261 coins | 6.7% | 8 | 14.1 | 0.57× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $174 249 coins | 5.3% | 12 | 11.8 | 1.02× | | [Sticker \| Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) | 20.0% | $12.56 17.94 coins | 1.5% | 52 | 47.0 | 1.11× | | [P2000 \| Pathfinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $11.05 15.78 coins | 1.3% | 50 | 47.0 | 1.06× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $187 267 coins $874 1,248 coins 4.68x 2026-11-05 15:03 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $187 267 coins $629 899 coins 3.37x 2026-11-08 05:44 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $187 267 coins $629 899 coins 3.37x 2026-11-07 01:13 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $187 267 coins $629 899 coins 3.37x 2026-11-07 00:41 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $187 267 coins $629 899 coins 3.37x 2026-11-04 12:17 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $187 267 coins $629 899 coins 3.37x 2026-11-03 18:01 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $181 259 coins $605 864 coins 3.34x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $181 259 coins $605 864 coins 3.34x 2026-11-10 22:16 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $181 259 coins $605 864 coins 3.34x 2026-11-09 13:27 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $181 259 coins $605 864 coins 3.34x 2026-11-09 12:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=battle-freezer) [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) Hidden $181 259 coins $282 403 coins 1.56x 2026-11-11 18:03 UTC [P2000 | Pathfinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-minimal-wear) [Jarza](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jarza) $181 259 coins $11.05 15.78 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:59 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [DankChocolates](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/DankChocolates) $181 259 coins $190 271 coins 1.05x 2026-11-11 17:56 UTC [P2000 | Pathfinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-minimal-wear) Hidden $181 259 coins $11.05 15.78 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:46 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) Hidden $181 259 coins $282 403 coins 1.56x 2026-11-11 17:43 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [OGGENATOR](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/OGGENATOR) $181 259 coins $190 271 coins 1.05x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) Hidden $181 259 coins $282 403 coins 1.56x 2026-11-11 17:13 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $181 259 coins $274 392 coins 1.52x 2026-11-11 16:52 UTC [Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) Hidden $181 259 coins $12.56 17.94 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 16:52 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $181 259 coins $190 271 coins 1.05x 2026-11-11 16:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $181 | 90.91% | 14 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $181 | 90.91% | 14 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $187 | 90.91% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 48.5% classified 5.0% extraordinary 6.5% exotic 20.0% industrial 20.0% best hit $874 (4.68x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt