--- title: "Battleworn case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Battleworn ($553.48) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 11 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battleworn rendered: 2026-11-11T14:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Battleworn](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battleworn) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Battleworn A case on CSGORoll (70%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battleworn?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battleworn?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battleworn) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battleworn?window=all) Price · $553.48 · 791 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $503.16 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 39.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 46.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battleworn?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battleworn?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battleworn) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/battleworn?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,617 6,595 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 250 | $1,194 1,706 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 10.5% | $1,165 1,664 coins | 24.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $1,096 1,566 coins | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife) | 1 in 100 | $992 1,417 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 20 | $832 1,188 coins | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 17.0% | $610 872 coins | 20.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-field-tested) | 15.0% | $557 795 coins | 16.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 16.0% | $472 674 coins | 15.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $11.75 16.79 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Torque (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-well-worn) | 15.0% | $4.40 6.28 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=battleworn) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $553 | 90.91% | 11 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $553 | 90.91% | 11 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $560 | 90.91% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 59.5% restricted 25.5% classified 15.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt