--- title: "Beast case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Beast ($53.87) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 16 items with odds, observed 114.98% over 43 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beast rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Beast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beast) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Beast A case on CSGORoll (30%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beast?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beast?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beast) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beast?window=all) Price · $53.87 · 76.96 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $48.97 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 114.98% · 43 openings, odds method Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 14.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 71.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 39 openings · below min 30 days · 43 openings · below min since tracking started · 43 openings · below min 70.5% 110.8% 151.0% **Small sample.** 43 openings and 6.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beast?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beast?window=7d) | 39 | 108.63% ±37.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beast) | 43 | 114.98% ±35.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beast?window=all) | 43 | 114.98% ±35.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 43 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| ESL Wolf (Foil) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-esl-wolf-foil-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $522 746 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Cloud9 (Holo) \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-holo-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 333 | $323 461 coins | 2.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 143 | $223 319 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| ScreaM (Foil) \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-scream-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 50 | $207 295 coins | 8.4% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $179 255 coins | 14.6% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.33× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $160 228 coins | 9.8% | 4 | 1.3 | 3.10× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 22 | $137 196 coins | 12.6% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× | | [Sticker \| Titan (Foil) \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 31 | $133 190 coins | 8.7% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $133 190 coins | 13.6% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.93× | | [Sticker \| North (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-north-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 17 | $72.10 103 coins | 8.8% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× | | [Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $23.63 33.75 coins | 0.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $18.24 26.06 coins | 3.0% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.87× | | [Autograph Capsule \| Luminosity Gaming \| Cologne 2015 other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/autograph-capsule-luminosity-gaming-cologne-2015) | 16.0% | $15.02 21.46 coins | 4.9% | 10 | 6.9 | 1.45× | | [Sticker \| chopper (Foil) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chopper-foil-katowice-2019) | 16.0% | $13.29 18.99 coins | 4.3% | 9 | 6.9 | 1.31× | | [Charm \| Semi-Precious charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-semi-precious) | 13.0% | $8.11 11.58 coins | 2.2% | 3 | 5.6 | 0.54× | | [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Serenity (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-serenity-factory-new) | 17.0% | $6.65 9.5 coins | 2.3% | 4 | 7.3 | 0.55× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=beast) [Autograph Capsule | Luminosity Gaming | Cologne 2015 other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/autograph-capsule-luminosity-gaming-cologne-2015) Hidden $53.87 76.96 coins $15.02 21.46 coins 0.28x 2026-11-09 21:25 UTC [Glock-18 | AXIA (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-battle-scarred) [Shit on](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Shit%20on) $53.87 76.96 coins $18.24 26.06 coins 0.34x 2026-11-09 21:25 UTC [Sticker | chopper (Foil) | Katowice 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chopper-foil-katowice-2019) Hidden $53.87 76.96 coins $13.29 18.99 coins 0.25x 2026-11-09 21:25 UTC [Sticker | chopper (Foil) | Katowice 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chopper-foil-katowice-2019) Hidden $53.87 76.96 coins $13.29 18.99 coins 0.25x 2026-11-09 21:25 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-serenity-factory-new) Hidden $53.87 76.96 coins $6.65 9.5 coins 0.12x 2026-11-09 13:53 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) Hidden $53.87 76.96 coins $133 190 coins 2.47x 2026-11-09 13:53 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $53.87 76.96 coins $179 255 coins 3.31x 2026-11-09 13:53 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-blue-steel-factory-new) [Heego](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Heego) $53.87 76.96 coins $179 255 coins 3.31x 2026-11-09 13:53 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-minimal-wear) Hidden $53.87 76.96 coins $23.63 33.75 coins 0.44x 2026-11-08 22:11 UTC [Autograph Capsule | Luminosity Gaming | Cologne 2015 other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/autograph-capsule-luminosity-gaming-cologne-2015) Hidden $53.87 76.96 coins $15.02 21.46 coins 0.28x 2026-11-08 22:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $53.87 | 90.91% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $54.10 | 90.91% | 16 | | 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $54.85 | 90.91% | 16 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $54.98 | 90.91% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed exotic 11.3% remarkable 16.3% covert 9.2% extraordinary 3.0% classified 5.0% restricted 18.2% rare 21.0% base 16.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt