---
title: "Bermuda case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Bermuda ($14.25) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.93% from 20 items with odds, observed 102.96% over 2,572 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bermuda
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Bermuda](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bermuda)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Bermuda

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bermuda?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bermuda?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bermuda) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bermuda?window=all)

Price · $14.25 · 20.36 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.93% · EV $12.96 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 102.96% · 2,572 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 67.20% ±38.09 205 openings

7 days · 101.65% ±11.67 2,227 openings

30 days · 102.96% ±10.86 2,572 openings

since tracking started · 102.96% ±10.86 2,572 openings

28.5% 71.5% 114.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 90.88% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (92.10% – 113.82%, 2,572 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bermuda?window=24h) | 205 | 67.20% ±38.1 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bermuda?window=7d) | 2,227 | 101.65% ±11.7 | +1.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bermuda) | 2,572 | 102.96% ±10.9 | +2.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bermuda?window=all) | 2,572 | 102.96% ±10.9 | +2.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,572 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,000 1,428 coins | 2.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $913 1,305 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lime Polycam (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lime-polycam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $468 668 coins | 2.2% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.94× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 455 | $424 606 coins | 7.2% | 7 | 5.7 | 1.24× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $283 404 coins | 1.7% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.46× |
| [Glock-18 \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $211 301 coins | 8.1% | 15 | 12.9 | 1.17× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $168 240 coins | 6.5% | 17 | 12.9 | 1.32× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $160 229 coins | 9.9% | 30 | 20.6 | 1.46× |
| [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $76.30 109 coins | 5.9% | 26 | 25.7 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Splyce (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-splyce-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 22 | $42.50 60.72 coins | 14.8% | 127 | 115.7 | 1.10× |
| [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $30.58 43.69 coins | 2.4% | 23 | 25.7 | 0.89× |
| [Sticker \| flusha (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flusha-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 20 | $24.21 34.59 coins | 9.3% | 124 | 128.6 | 0.96× |
| [UMP-45 \| Caramel (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-caramel-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $10.21 14.59 coins | 4.1% | 127 | 133.7 | 0.95× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $8.20 11.72 coins | 5.1% | 213 | 208.3 | 1.02× |
| [Collectible Pins Capsule Series 3 container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/collectible-pins-capsule-series-3) | 1 in 11 | $5.94 8.49 coins | 4.3% | 262 | 239.2 | 1.10× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $4.07 5.82 coins | 2.0% | 149 | 167.2 | 0.89× |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-factory-new) | 10.0% | $3.85 5.5 coins | 3.0% | 270 | 257.2 | 1.05× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Natus Vincere \| Boston 2018 graffiti · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-natus-vincere-boston-2018) | 19.7% | $3.74 5.35 coins | 5.7% | 499 | 506.7 | 0.98× |
| [MP7 \| Tall Grass (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $3.66 5.23 coins | 1.0% | 84 | 90.0 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Electrum (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-minimal-wear) | 24.0% | $2.07 2.95 coins | 3.8% | 592 | 617.3 | 0.96× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) Hidden $14.40 20.57 coins $1,000 1,428 coins 69.42x 2026-11-08 18:50 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=bermuda)

[Sealed Graffiti | Natus Vincere | Boston 2018 graffiti · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-natus-vincere-boston-2018) Hidden $14.25 20.36 coins $3.74 5.35 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 14:13 UTC

[M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.25 20.36 coins $2.07 2.95 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:13 UTC

[M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-minimal-wear) [caravaggio](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/caravaggio) $14.25 20.36 coins $2.07 2.95 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:13 UTC

[Tec-9 | Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-field-tested) Hidden $14.25 20.36 coins $76.30 109 coins 5.35x 2026-11-11 14:13 UTC

[M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.25 20.36 coins $2.07 2.95 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Natus Vincere | Boston 2018 graffiti · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-natus-vincere-boston-2018) Hidden $14.25 20.36 coins $3.74 5.35 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Natus Vincere | Boston 2018 graffiti · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-natus-vincere-boston-2018) Hidden $14.25 20.36 coins $3.74 5.35 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Natus Vincere | Boston 2018 graffiti · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-natus-vincere-boston-2018) Hidden $14.25 20.36 coins $3.74 5.35 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[Sticker | flusha (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flusha-foil-atlanta-2017) Hidden $14.25 20.36 coins $24.21 34.59 coins 1.70x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[Sticker | flusha (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flusha-foil-atlanta-2017) [Jarza](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jarza) $14.25 20.36 coins $24.21 34.59 coins 1.70x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC | $14.25 | 90.93% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $14.26 | 90.93% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $14.21 | 90.93% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $14.34 | 90.91% | 20 |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | $14.34 | 90.91% | 20 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $14.39 | 90.90% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 2.1% legendary 0.1% mil spec 1.0% exotic 9.5% restricted 17.5% consumer 5.2% classified 8.1% base 9.3% high 19.7% industrial 3.5% uncommon 24.0% best hit $1,000 (69.42x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.93 on average: an expected loss of $9.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt