---
title: "BHOP case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "BHOP ($49.24) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 28 items with odds, observed 93.58% over 2,550 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bhop
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:38Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [BHOP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bhop)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · BHOP

A case on CSGORoll (knives, gloves, 30%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bhop?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bhop?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bhop) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bhop?window=all)

Price · $49.24 · 70.35 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $44.77 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.58% · 2,550 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 96.19% ±19.24 290 openings

7 days · 94.94% ±6.89 2,238 openings

30 days · 93.58% ±6.45 2,550 openings

since tracking started · 93.58% ±6.45 2,550 openings

76.5% 96.2% 116.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bhop?window=24h) | 290 | 96.19% ±19.2 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bhop?window=7d) | 2,238 | 94.94% ±6.89 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bhop) | 2,550 | 93.58% ±6.45 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bhop?window=all) | 2,550 | 93.58% ±6.45 | +0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,550 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100,000 | $6,188 8,840 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $3,458 4,940 coins | 1.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,244 3,205 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $939 1,341 coins | 0.8% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.98× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 769 | $493 705 coins | 1.4% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.90× |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 1,010 | $474 677 coins | 1.0% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.19× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 714 | $449 641 coins | 1.4% | 5 | 3.6 | 1.40× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $377 539 coins | 0.7% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-factory-new) | 1 in 556 | $360 514 coins | 1.4% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.09× |
| [Sticker \| Cloud9 (Holo) \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-holo-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 455 | $323 461 coins | 1.6% | 8 | 5.6 | 1.43× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 244 | $300 429 coins | 2.8% | 11 | 10.5 | 1.05× |
| [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-well-worn) | 1 in 323 | $300 428 coins | 2.1% | 10 | 7.9 | 1.27× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 125 | $228 326 coins | 4.1% | 23 | 20.4 | 1.13× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 133 | $190 272 coins | 3.2% | 22 | 19.1 | 1.15× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $179 256 coins | 4.0% | 21 | 25.5 | 0.82× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 71 | $178 254 coins | 5.6% | 35 | 35.7 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $154 220 coins | 4.1% | 36 | 30.6 | 1.18× |
| [MP9 \| Stained Glass (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 122 | $132 189 coins | 2.4% | 20 | 20.9 | 0.96× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-minimal-wear) | 1 in 106 | $122 174 coins | 2.6% | 19 | 24.0 | 0.79× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-factory-new) | 1 in 385 | $108 154 coins | 0.6% | 11 | 6.6 | 1.66× |
| [Sticker \| Cloud9 (Holo) \| Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-holo-boston-2018) | 1 in 33 | $93.80 134 coins | 6.3% | 70 | 76.5 | 0.92× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 40 | $90.30 129 coins | 5.0% | 67 | 63.5 | 1.06× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $43.90 62.72 coins | 1.7% | 47 | 43.4 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) | 21.0% | $35.81 51.15 coins | 16.8% | 543 | 535.5 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 19.0% | $25.70 36.72 coins | 10.9% | 463 | 484.5 | 0.96× |
| [P250 \| Undertow (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-minimal-wear) | 21.5% | $24.49 34.98 coins | 11.8% | 546 | 548.3 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $19.01 27.15 coins | 1.7% | 104 | 102.0 | 1.02× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-factory-new) | 18.5% | $9.33 13.33 coins | 3.9% | 475 | 471.8 | 1.01× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $50.37 71.96 coins $3,458 4,940 coins 68.65x 2026-11-08 00:22 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-field-tested) [LeO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/LeO) $50.37 71.96 coins $888 1,269 coins 17.63x 2026-11-06 10:23 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.37 71.96 coins $511 730 coins 10.14x 2026-11-07 02:54 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=bhop)

[Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-factory-new) Hidden $49.24 70.35 coins $43.90 62.72 coins 0.89x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC

[Sticker | Cloud9 (Holo) | Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-holo-boston-2018) Hidden $49.24 70.35 coins $93.80 134 coins 1.90x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC

[P250 | Undertow (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-minimal-wear) Hidden $49.24 70.35 coins $24.49 34.98 coins 0.50x 2026-11-11 12:16 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $49.24 70.35 coins $90.30 129 coins 1.83x 2026-11-11 12:14 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Embargo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-factory-new) Hidden $49.24 70.35 coins $9.33 13.33 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 12:13 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-factory-new) [Terroristi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Terroristi) $49.24 70.35 coins $360 514 coins 7.31x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Embargo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-factory-new) Hidden $49.24 70.35 coins $9.33 13.33 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 11:42 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $49.24 70.35 coins $90.30 129 coins 1.83x 2026-11-11 11:41 UTC

[AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) Hidden $49.24 70.35 coins $25.70 36.72 coins 0.52x 2026-11-11 11:41 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Embargo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-factory-new) Hidden $49.24 70.35 coins $9.33 13.33 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 11:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $49.24 | 90.91% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $49.84 | 90.91% | 28 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $50.37 | 90.91% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 6.9% extraordinary 1.0% classified 44.0% legendary 0.2% remarkable 3.2% restricted 40.6% rare 4.0% best hit $3,458 (68.65x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt