---
title: "Bing Chilling case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Bing Chilling ($205.32) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 26 items with odds, observed 97.10% over 155 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bing-chilling
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Bing Chilling](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bing-chilling)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Bing Chilling

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bing-chilling?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bing-chilling?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bing-chilling) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bing-chilling?window=all)

Price · $205.32 · 293 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $186.65 from 26 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.10% · 155 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 18 openings · below min

7 days · 90.83% ±35.28 133 openings

30 days · 97.10% ±32.69 155 openings

since tracking started · 97.10% ±32.69 155 openings

-0.5% 84.0% 168.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bing-chilling?window=24h) | 18 | 72.76% ±95.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bing-chilling?window=7d) | 133 | 90.83% ±35.3 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bing-chilling) | 155 | 97.10% ±32.7 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bing-chilling?window=all) | 155 | 97.10% ±32.7 | +0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 155 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) Titan (Holo) + 3x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new-titan-holo-3x-ibp-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $56K 80,000 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) 4x Titan (Holo) (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear-4x-titan-holo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $28K 40,000 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,188 8,840 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $5,978 8,540 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $4,669 6,670 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $3,458 4,940 coins | 2.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 333 | $2,737 3,910 coins | 4.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 500 | $2,219 3,170 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 455 | $1,059 1,513 coins | 1.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 400 | $1,051 1,502 coins | 1.4% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) | 1 in 286 | $1,033 1,475 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $595 850 coins | 1.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 143 | $467 667 coins | 1.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $377 539 coins | 3.8% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.68× |
| [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $356 508 coins | 4.8% | 7 | 3.9 | 1.81× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 111 | $302 432 coins | 1.5% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $278 397 coins | 6.7% | 5 | 7.0 | 0.72× |
| [G3SG1 \| Chronos (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-chronos-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $272 388 coins | 7.3% | 2 | 7.8 | 0.26× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 1 in 83 | $264 377 coins | 1.7% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.08× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 67 | $221 315 coins | 1.8% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.29× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) | 19.7% | $186 266 coins | 19.6% | 29 | 30.5 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $160 228 coins | 6.0% | 10 | 10.9 | 0.92× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $149 213 coins | 6.4% | 11 | 12.4 | 0.89× |
| [MP9 \| Stained Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $93.80 134 coins | 7.5% | 25 | 23.3 | 1.08× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) | 18.0% | $65.46 93.51 coins | 6.3% | 35 | 27.9 | 1.25× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $50.11 71.59 coins | 3.2% | 16 | 18.6 | 0.86× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $207 296 coins $3,458 4,940 coins 16.68x 2026-11-05 13:12 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $207 296 coins $2,737 3,910 coins 13.20x 2026-11-04 02:58 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $207 296 coins $2,737 3,910 coins 13.20x 2026-11-03 14:44 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $207 296 coins $1,056 1,508 coins 5.09x 2026-11-06 08:48 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $207 296 coins $1,051 1,502 coins 5.07x 2026-11-07 13:20 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $207 296 coins $1,051 1,502 coins 5.07x 2026-11-06 17:56 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $205 293 coins $595 850 coins 2.90x 2026-11-11 05:52 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=bing-chilling)

[M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) Hidden $205 293 coins $186 266 coins 0.91x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) Hidden $205 293 coins $160 228 coins 0.78x 2026-11-11 11:44 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-factory-new) [Klass 2](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Klass%202) $205 293 coins $149 213 coins 0.73x 2026-11-11 09:00 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $205 293 coins $50.11 71.59 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 06:03 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $205 293 coins $595 850 coins 2.90x 2026-11-11 05:52 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) Hidden $205 293 coins $65.46 93.51 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 05:49 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $205 293 coins $50.11 71.59 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 00:26 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) Hidden $205 293 coins $264 377 coins 1.29x 2026-11-11 00:12 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) Hidden $205 293 coins $65.46 93.51 coins 0.32x 2026-11-10 21:54 UTC

[MP9 | Stained Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-minimal-wear) Hidden $205 293 coins $93.80 134 coins 0.46x 2026-11-10 21:14 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $205 | 90.91% | 26 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $206 | 90.91% | 26 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $207 | 90.91% | 26 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.4% covert 24.7% extraordinary 5.8% restricted 24.4% classified 44.7% best hit $3,458 (16.68x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt