--- title: "Blend case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Blend ($331.32) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 17 items with odds, observed 32.26% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blend rendered: 2026-11-11T13:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Blend](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blend) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Blend A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blend?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blend?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blend) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blend?window=all) Price · $331.32 · 473 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $301.20 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 32.26% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 16.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 64.0% 128.5% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blend?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blend?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blend) | 4 | 32.26% ±95.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blend?window=all) | 4 | 32.26% ±95.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 200 | $1,616 2,308 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) | 1 in 50 | $1,121 1,602 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $1,090 1,557 coins | 7.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $1,089 1,555 coins | 7.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| bondik (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bondik-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 33 | $980 1,400 coins | 9.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $952 1,360 coins | 9.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $699 999 coins | 9.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $593 847 coins | 5.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 33 | $428 611 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $315 450 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $310 443 coins | 6.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 17 | $210 300 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $151 215 coins | 3.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 14 | $121 173 coins | 2.8% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 15.0% | $107 153 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-well-worn) | 15.0% | $104 149 coins | 5.2% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) | 17.5% | $91.70 131 coins | 5.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=blend) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $331 | 90.91% | 17 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $337 | 90.91% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 73.5% extraordinary 9.0% classified 17.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. 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