---
title: "Blessed case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Blessed ($18.70) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 12 items with odds, observed 93.66% over 1,603 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blessed
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Blessed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blessed)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Blessed

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blessed?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blessed?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blessed) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blessed?window=all)

Price · $18.70 · 26.71 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $17.00 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.66% · 1,603 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 74.95% ±38.04 147 openings

7 days · 93.23% ±12.72 1,295 openings

30 days · 93.66% ±11.42 1,603 openings

since tracking started · 93.66% ±11.42 1,603 openings

36.5% 75.0% 113.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blessed?window=24h) | 147 | 74.95% ±38.0 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blessed?window=7d) | 1,295 | 93.23% ±12.7 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blessed) | 1,603 | 93.66% ±11.4 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blessed?window=all) | 1,603 | 93.66% ±11.4 | +0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,603 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit) | 1 in 10,000 | $891 1,273 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $848 1,212 coins | 5.0% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $783 1,119 coins | 2.3% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $568 812 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $198 283 coins | 17.5% | 19 | 24.0 | 0.79× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) | 10.3% | $43.41 62.02 coins | 26.3% | 185 | 164.9 | 1.12× |
| [USP-S \| Road Rash (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-field-tested) | 15.0% | $30.23 43.18 coins | 26.7% | 251 | 240.4 | 1.04× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $22.61 32.3 coins | 4.0% | 42 | 48.1 | 0.87× |
| [P250 \| Red Rock (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-well-worn) | 15.0% | $10.71 15.3 coins | 9.5% | 251 | 240.4 | 1.04× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-field-tested) | 15.0% | $5.82 8.31 coins | 5.1% | 240 | 240.4 | 1.00× |
| [P90 \| Module (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.22 1.74 coins | 1.1% | 217 | 240.4 | 0.90× |
| [UMP-45 \| Labyrinth (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-labyrinth-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.29 0.41 coins | 0.4% | 394 | 400.8 | 0.98× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $18.77 26.82 coins $848 1,212 coins 45.19x 2026-11-09 11:50 UTC

[Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) [guRRa](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/guRRa) $19.01 27.16 coins $813 1,162 coins 42.78x 2026-11-07 18:56 UTC

[Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) [m1chi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/m1chi) $19.08 27.25 coins $813 1,162 coins 42.64x 2026-11-04 11:03 UTC

[Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) Hidden $18.77 26.82 coins $783 1,119 coins 41.72x 2026-11-08 21:18 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=blessed)

[Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-field-tested) [Rusty Cake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Rusty%20Cake) $18.70 26.71 coins $5.82 8.31 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.70 26.71 coins $43.41 62.02 coins 2.32x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[P250 | Red Rock (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-well-worn) [BiO-HaZarD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BiO-HaZarD) $18.70 26.71 coins $10.71 15.3 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[P250 | Red Rock (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-well-worn) [BRÄTT \<3](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BR%C3%84TT%20%3C3) $18.70 26.71 coins $10.71 15.3 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-labyrinth-field-tested) [Rusty Cake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Rusty%20Cake) $18.70 26.71 coins $0.29 0.41 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC

[UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-labyrinth-field-tested) Hidden $18.70 26.71 coins $0.29 0.41 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC

[P250 | Red Rock (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-well-worn) Hidden $18.70 26.71 coins $10.71 15.3 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $18.70 26.71 coins $198 283 coins 10.60x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC

[UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-labyrinth-field-tested) Hidden $18.70 26.71 coins $0.29 0.41 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[P250 | Red Rock (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-well-worn) Hidden $18.70 26.71 coins $10.71 15.3 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | $18.70 | 90.91% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $18.77 | 90.90% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $18.77 | 90.91% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $19.03 | 90.90% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | $19.01 | 90.92% | 12 |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $19.08 | 90.91% | 12 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $18.94 | 90.91% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.2% legendary 0.1% classified 11.8% restricted 30.0% mil spec 43.0% violet 15.0% best hit $848 (45.19x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt