--- title: "Bloom case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Bloom ($285.58) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 21 items with odds, observed 52.35% over 16 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bloom rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Bloom](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bloom) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Bloom A case on CSGORoll (50%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bloom?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bloom?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bloom) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bloom?window=all) Price · $285.58 · 408 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $259.62 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · 52.35% · 16 openings, odds method Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 24.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 61.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 16 openings · below min 30 days · 16 openings · below min since tracking started · 16 openings · below min 2.0% 52.5% 103.0% **Small sample.** 16 openings and 3.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bloom?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bloom?window=7d) | 16 | 52.35% ±49.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bloom) | 16 | 52.35% ±49.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bloom?window=all) | 16 | 52.35% ±49.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,458 4,940 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,250 | $3,164 4,520 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $2,069 2,955 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,949 2,785 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,809 2,585 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Twistzz (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-twistzz-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 154 | $1,610 2,300 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,576 2,251 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $1,142 1,632 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 222 | $1,035 1,478 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 83 | $631 902 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Souvenir MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) | 11.7% | $582 832 coins | 26.3% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $568 812 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $557 796 coins | 17.2% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 17 | $415 593 coins | 9.6% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $384 549 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $371 530 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 20 | $302 432 coins | 5.8% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 11.0% | $274 391 coins | 11.6% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.14× | | [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $113 161 coins | 6.5% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [Sticker \| Miami Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-skill-surf-holo) | 20.0% | $8.58 12.26 coins | 0.7% | 6 | 3.2 | 1.87× | | [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) | 15.0% | $1.56 2.23 coins | 0.1% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Jake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jake) $283 404 coins $525 750 coins 1.85x 2026-11-04 21:42 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=bloom) [Sticker | Miami Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-skill-surf-holo) Hidden $283 404 coins $6.87 9.81 coins 0.02x 2026-11-04 21:42 UTC [Sticker | Miami Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-skill-surf-holo) Hidden $283 404 coins $6.87 9.81 coins 0.02x 2026-11-04 21:42 UTC [Sticker | Miami Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-skill-surf-holo) Hidden $283 404 coins $6.87 9.81 coins 0.02x 2026-11-04 21:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $283 404 coins $274 391 coins 0.97x 2026-11-04 21:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $283 404 coins $415 593 coins 1.47x 2026-11-04 21:42 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Jake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jake) $283 404 coins $525 750 coins 1.85x 2026-11-04 21:42 UTC [Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) Hidden $283 404 coins $1.56 2.23 coins 0.01x 2026-11-04 21:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $283 404 coins $307 438 coins 1.08x 2026-11-04 21:42 UTC [Sticker | Miami Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-skill-surf-holo) Hidden $283 404 coins $6.87 9.81 coins 0.02x 2026-11-04 21:41 UTC [Sticker | Miami Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-skill-surf-holo) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $283 404 coins $6.87 9.81 coins 0.02x 2026-11-04 21:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $286 | 90.91% | 21 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $285 | 90.91% | 21 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $283 | 90.91% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 9.7% high 0.1% covert 42.0% restricted 11.7% legendary 1.5% remarkable 20.0% uncommon 15.0% best hit $525 (1.85x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt