--- title: "Blue Blood case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Blue Blood ($34.26) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 12 items with odds, observed 95.88% over 797 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-blood rendered: 2026-11-11T19:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Blue Blood](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-blood) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Blue Blood A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-blood?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-blood?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-blood) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-blood?window=all) Price · $34.26 · 48.94 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $31.15 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 95.88% · 797 openings, odds method Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 35.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 61 openings · below min 7 days · 96.20% ±6.63 457 openings 30 days · 95.88% ±5.03 797 openings since tracking started · 95.88% ±5.03 797 openings 84.0% 102.5% 121.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-blood?window=24h) | 61 | 102.44% ±17.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-blood?window=7d) | 457 | 96.20% ±6.63 | +1.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-blood) | 797 | 95.88% ±5.03 | +1.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-blood?window=all) | 797 | 95.88% ±5.03 | +1.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 797 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,528 2,183 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $738 1,054 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 40,000 | $414 591 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $235 336 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $158 225 coins | 2.5% | 8 | 4.0 | 2.01× | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $72.80 104 coins | 22.2% | 82 | 75.6 | 1.08× | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $50.61 72.3 coins | 8.1% | 39 | 39.9 | 0.98× | | [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-well-worn) | 20.0% | $49.90 71.29 coins | 32.0% | 175 | 159.4 | 1.10× | | [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-factory-new) | 11.0% | $28.64 40.92 coins | 10.1% | 88 | 87.7 | 1.00× | | [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $28.29 40.42 coins | 18.2% | 142 | 159.4 | 0.89× | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-battle-scarred) | 14.0% | $12.18 17.4 coins | 5.5% | 111 | 111.6 | 0.99× | | [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $1.89 2.7 coins | 1.2% | 152 | 159.4 | 0.95× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=blue-blood) [Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-minimal-wear) Hidden $34.26 48.94 coins $28.29 40.42 coins 0.83x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-battle-scarred) Hidden $34.26 48.94 coins $12.18 17.4 coins 0.36x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-well-worn) [Shiba inu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Shiba%20inu) $34.26 48.94 coins $49.90 71.29 coins 1.46x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-battle-scarred) Hidden $34.26 48.94 coins $12.18 17.4 coins 0.36x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) Hidden $34.26 48.94 coins $72.80 104 coins 2.13x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-battle-scarred) Hidden $34.26 48.94 coins $12.18 17.4 coins 0.36x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) [Dab](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Dab) $34.26 48.94 coins $72.80 104 coins 2.13x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-factory-new) [Veckans](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Veckans) $34.26 48.94 coins $28.64 40.92 coins 0.84x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-well-worn) [Corteco](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Corteco) $34.26 48.94 coins $49.90 71.29 coins 1.46x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-factory-new) [maxos135](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/maxos135) $34.26 48.94 coins $28.64 40.92 coins 0.84x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $34.26 | 90.91% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $34.17 | 90.91% | 12 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $34.15 | 90.91% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% covert 20.5% industrial 9.5% classified 39.0% restricted 31.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt