---
title: "Blue World case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Blue World ($10.16) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.89% from 15 items with odds, observed 93.17% over 4,220 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-world
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:01Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Blue World](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-world)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Blue World

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-world?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-world?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-world) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-world?window=all)

Price · $10.16 · 14.52 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.89% · EV $9.24 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.17% · 4,220 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.61% ±13.67 445 openings

7 days · 93.57% ±5.13 3,212 openings

30 days · 93.17% ±4.48 4,220 openings

since tracking started · 93.17% ±4.48 4,220 openings

77.5% 91.8% 106.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-world?window=24h) | 445 | 91.61% ±13.7 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-world?window=7d) | 3,212 | 93.57% ±5.13 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-world) | 4,220 | 93.17% ±4.48 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blue-world?window=all) | 4,220 | 93.17% ±4.48 | +1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,220 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [MP9 \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $97.30 139 coins | 5.3% | 16 | 21.1 | 0.76× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $65.46 93.51 coins | 7.1% | 37 | 42.2 | 0.88× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $51.30 73.29 coins | 19.4% | 171 | 147.7 | 1.16× |
| [SSG 08 \| Tropical Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tropical-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $38.12 54.45 coins | 6.2% | 62 | 63.3 | 0.98× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $35.82 51.17 coins | 1.9% | 22 | 21.1 | 1.04× |
| [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $30.86 44.08 coins | 8.4% | 104 | 105.5 | 0.99× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $21.68 30.97 coins | 8.2% | 172 | 147.7 | 1.16× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $19.94 28.48 coins | 6.5% | 134 | 126.6 | 1.06× |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $19.03 27.19 coins | 6.2% | 141 | 126.6 | 1.11× |
| [Sticker \| Pimp \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pimp-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 20 | $15.81 22.58 coins | 8.6% | 212 | 211.0 | 1.00× |
| [Nova \| Tempest (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-tempest-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $15.55 22.21 coins | 8.4% | 210 | 211.0 | 1.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) | 15.0% | $8.52 12.17 coins | 13.8% | 615 | 633.0 | 0.97× |
| [Nova \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 628 | 633.0 | 0.99× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 16.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 650 | 675.2 | 0.96× |
| [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 1,046 | 1055.0 | 0.99× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=blue-world)

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $10.16 14.52 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $10.16 14.52 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $10.16 14.52 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $10.16 14.52 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Gamblers Anonymous](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Gamblers%20Anonymous) $10.16 14.52 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC

[M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) Hidden $10.16 14.52 coins $8.52 12.17 coins 0.84x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $10.16 14.52 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:15 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $10.16 14.52 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:15 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) [Στοik](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%CE%A3%CF%84%CE%BFik) $10.16 14.52 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:15 UTC

[Sticker | Pimp | Atlanta 2017 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pimp-atlanta-2017) Hidden $10.16 14.52 coins $15.81 22.58 coins 1.56x 2026-11-11 16:15 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $10.16 | 90.89% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $10.25 | 90.93% | 15 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.29 | 90.92% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed mil spec 0.5% classified 19.0% covert 4.0% industrial 8.0% restricted 2.5% high 5.0% blue 5.0% consumer 56.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.89 on average: an expected loss of $9.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt