---
title: "Boobytrap case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Boobytrap ($2.86) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.85% from 16 items with odds, observed 89.09% over 17.8K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/boobytrap
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Boobytrap](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/boobytrap)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Boobytrap

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/boobytrap?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/boobytrap?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/boobytrap) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/boobytrap?window=all)

Price · $2.86 · 4.09 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.85% · EV $2.60 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.09% · 17.8K openings, odds method

Variance · 2.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 89.08% ±6.80 2,176 openings

7 days · 89.15% ±2.66 15.2K openings

30 days · 89.09% ±2.46 17.8K openings

since tracking started · 89.09% ±2.46 17.8K openings

81.5% 89.0% 96.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/boobytrap?window=24h) | 2,176 | 89.08% ±6.80 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/boobytrap?window=7d) | 15.2K | 89.15% ±2.66 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/boobytrap) | 17.8K | 89.09% ±2.46 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/boobytrap?window=all) | 17.8K | 89.09% ±2.46 | −1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 17.8K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $84.70 121 coins | 0.3% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.12× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $49.26 70.37 coins | 0.9% | 5 | 8.9 | 0.56× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $33.53 47.9 coins | 0.6% | 8 | 8.9 | 0.90× |
| [G3SG1 \| Flux (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $27.90 39.86 coins | 7.5% | 128 | 124.9 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $21.34 30.48 coins | 4.1% | 82 | 89.2 | 0.92× |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Acheron (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-acheron-factory-new) | 1 in 71 | $20.62 29.45 coins | 11.1% | 238 | 249.9 | 0.95× |
| [MP9 \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $12.42 17.75 coins | 11.9% | 440 | 446.2 | 0.99× |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $8.74 12.48 coins | 20.2% | 1,037 | 1070.9 | 0.97× |
| [Souvenir M249 \| Gator Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m249-gator-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 91 | $6.38 9.11 coins | 2.7% | 175 | 196.3 | 0.89× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Devourer (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-devourer-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $4.79 6.85 coins | 11.1% | 1,082 | 1070.9 | 1.01× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Kami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $4.26 6.08 coins | 13.1% | 1,432 | 1427.9 | 1.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $1.28 1.83 coins | 4.4% | 1,648 | 1606.4 | 1.03× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) | 15.7% | $0.69 0.98 coins | 4.1% | 2,898 | 2800.5 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Deadly Poison (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-deadly-poison-field-tested) | 12.0% | $0.64 0.91 coins | 2.9% | 2,123 | 2141.9 | 0.99× |
| [Nova \| Predator (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-predator-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.54 0.77 coins | 4.1% | 3,544 | 3569.8 | 0.99× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-minimal-wear) | 17.0% | $0.12 0.17 coins | 0.8% | 3,007 | 3034.3 | 0.99× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=boobytrap)

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Deadly Poison (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-deadly-poison-field-tested) Hidden $2.86 4.09 coins $0.64 0.91 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Deadly Poison (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-deadly-poison-field-tested) Hidden $2.86 4.09 coins $0.64 0.91 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Devourer (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-devourer-well-worn) [dinmor](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/dinmor) $2.86 4.09 coins $4.79 6.85 coins 1.67x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Kami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-factory-new) Hidden $2.86 4.09 coins $4.26 6.08 coins 1.49x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[P2000 | Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) Hidden $2.86 4.09 coins $0.69 0.98 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Deadly Poison (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-deadly-poison-field-tested) Hidden $2.86 4.09 coins $0.64 0.91 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[USP-S | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.86 4.09 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Deadly Poison (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-deadly-poison-field-tested) [Kisu :)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kisu%20%3A%29) $2.86 4.09 coins $0.64 0.91 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $2.86 4.09 coins $21.34 30.48 coins 7.45x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[FAMAS | Neural Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.86 4.09 coins $1.28 1.83 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $2.86 | 90.85% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $2.86 | 90.89% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $2.86 | 90.88% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $2.83 | 90.89% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $2.78 | 90.81% | 16 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $2.77 | 90.97% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% extraordinary 0.1% classified 12.7% restricted 12.0% mil spec 37.1% industrial 18.1% consumer 20.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.85 on average: an expected loss of $9.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt