--- title: "Brian v2 case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Brian v2 ($1,451.56) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 19 items with odds, observed 70.29% over 64 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/brian-v2 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Brian v2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/brian-v2) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Brian v2 A case on CSGORoll (partners, 50%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/brian-v2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/brian-v2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/brian-v2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/brian-v2?window=all) Price · $1,451.56 · 2,074 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $1,319.60 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · 70.29% · 64 openings, odds method Variance · 4.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 42 openings · below min 30 days · 64 openings · below min since tracking started · 64 openings · below min -0.5% 60.8% 122.0% **Small sample.** 64 openings and 6.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/brian-v2?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/brian-v2?window=7d) | 42 | 52.70% ±63.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/brian-v2) | 64 | 70.29% ±51.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/brian-v2?window=all) | 64 | 70.29% ±51.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 64 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New) #387 (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new-387-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $700K 1,000,000 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $8,869 12,670 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 200 | $8,057 11,510 coins | 3.1% | 2 | 0.3 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $7,521 10,745 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $7,297 10,425 coins | 11.1% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 67 | $7,252 10,360 coins | 8.2% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $6,542 9,345 coins | 5.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $6,003 8,575 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $5,548 7,925 coins | 8.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $4,088 5,840 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20 | $3,136 4,480 coins | 11.9% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 20 | $2,667 3,810 coins | 10.1% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.31× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $2,244 3,205 coins | 8.5% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.31× | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $1,567 2,239 coins | 5.9% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.25× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1,115 1,593 coins | 4.2% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.25× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 10 | $771 1,101 coins | 5.8% | 10 | 6.4 | 1.56× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $557 795 coins | 2.1% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× | | [Charm \| Semi-Precious charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-semi-precious) | 25.0% | $8.11 11.58 coins | 0.2% | 18 | 16.0 | 1.13× | | [Charm \| Titeenium AWP charm · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-titeenium-awp) | 25.0% | $2.70 3.86 coins | 0.1% | 16 | 16.0 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $1,452 2,074 coins $8,057 11,510 coins 5.55x 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [m1chi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/m1chi) $1,459 2,084 coins $8,057 11,510 coins 5.52x 2026-11-03 13:02 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $1,452 2,074 coins $7,252 10,360 coins 5.00x 2026-11-10 13:46 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $1,459 2,084 coins $7,252 10,360 coins 4.97x 2026-11-03 13:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $1,459 2,084 coins $6,003 8,575 coins 4.11x 2026-11-03 12:54 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,459 2,084 coins $5,656 8,080 coins 3.88x 2026-11-03 12:52 UTC [Sticker | Titan | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,459 2,084 coins $3,143 4,490 coins 2.15x 2026-11-03 12:58 UTC [Sticker | Titan | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,459 2,084 coins $3,143 4,490 coins 2.15x 2026-11-03 12:56 UTC [Sticker | Titan | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) [m1chi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/m1chi) $1,452 2,074 coins $3,136 4,480 coins 2.16x 2026-11-10 13:53 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,459 2,084 coins $2,695 3,850 coins 1.85x 2026-11-03 12:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=brian-v2) [Charm | Titeenium AWP charm · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-titeenium-awp) [m1chi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/m1chi) $1,452 2,074 coins $2.70 3.86 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $1,452 2,074 coins $8,057 11,510 coins 5.55x 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $1,452 2,074 coins $1,115 1,593 coins 0.77x 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $1,452 2,074 coins $771 1,101 coins 0.53x 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC [Charm | Titeenium AWP charm · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-titeenium-awp) Hidden $1,452 2,074 coins $2.70 3.86 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:57 UTC [Charm | Titeenium AWP charm · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-titeenium-awp) Hidden $1,452 2,074 coins $2.70 3.86 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:57 UTC [Charm | Semi-Precious charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-semi-precious) Hidden $1,452 2,074 coins $8.11 11.58 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 13:57 UTC [Charm | Semi-Precious charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-semi-precious) [m1chi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/m1chi) $1,452 2,074 coins $8.11 11.58 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 13:57 UTC [Charm | Titeenium AWP charm · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-titeenium-awp) Hidden $1,452 2,074 coins $2.70 3.86 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:55 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $1,452 2,074 coins $1,115 1,593 coins 0.77x 2026-11-10 13:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $1,452 | 90.91% | 19 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $1,452 | 90.91% | 19 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,459 | 90.91% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% covert 32.0% contraband 2.0% remarkable 1.0% high 5.0% extraordinary 5.0% epic 5.0% rare 25.0% Legendary 25.0% best hit $8,057 (5.55x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt