---
title: "Burger case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Burger ($5.79) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.95% from 13 items with odds, observed 95.67% over 3,585 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/burger
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Burger](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/burger)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Burger

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/burger?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/burger?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/burger) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/burger?window=all)

Price · $5.79 · 8.27 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.95% · EV $5.26 from 13 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 95.67% · 3,585 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 87.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 95.75% ±18.18 331 openings

7 days · 94.69% ±6.15 2,838 openings

30 days · 95.67% ±5.46 3,585 openings

since tracking started · 95.67% ±5.46 3,585 openings

77.0% 95.8% 114.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/burger?window=24h) | 331 | 95.75% ±18.2 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/burger?window=7d) | 2,838 | 94.69% ±6.15 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/burger) | 3,585 | 95.67% ±5.46 | +1.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/burger?window=all) | 3,585 | 95.67% ±5.46 | +1.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,585 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $91.00 130 coins | 8.6% | 26 | 17.9 | 1.45× |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $49.06 70.09 coins | 7.0% | 31 | 26.9 | 1.15× |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $45.38 64.83 coins | 8.6% | 37 | 35.9 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $32.24 46.06 coins | 13.5% | 88 | 78.9 | 1.12× |
| [Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $18.26 26.09 coins | 5.2% | 55 | 53.8 | 1.02× |
| [M4A4 \| Polysoup (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $11.38 16.26 coins | 9.7% | 147 | 161.3 | 0.91× |
| [Charm \| Hot Wurst charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-wurst) | 1 in 50 | $6.88 9.83 coins | 2.6% | 84 | 71.7 | 1.17× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) | 14.0% | $5.31 7.58 coins | 14.1% | 481 | 501.9 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-banana-cannon-factory-new) | 17.0% | $4.26 6.09 coins | 13.8% | 564 | 609.5 | 0.93× |
| [Charm \| Lil' Monster charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-monster) | 1 in 14 | $2.04 2.91 coins | 2.7% | 286 | 251.0 | 1.14× |
| [Sticker \| Chicken of the Sky sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-of-the-sky) | 20.5% | $1.57 2.24 coins | 6.1% | 751 | 736.7 | 1.02× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-well-worn) | 19.0% | $1.56 2.23 coins | 5.6% | 680 | 681.2 | 1.00× |
| [Charm \| Diner Dog charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-diner-dog) | 10.0% | $1.26 1.8 coins | 2.4% | 355 | 358.5 | 0.99× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=burger)

[Sticker | Chicken of the Sky sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-of-the-sky) Hidden $5.79 8.27 coins $1.57 2.24 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Sticker | Chicken of the Sky sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-of-the-sky) Hidden $5.79 8.27 coins $1.57 2.24 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Charm | Diner Dog charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-diner-dog) Hidden $5.79 8.27 coins $1.26 1.8 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-well-worn) Hidden $5.79 8.27 coins $1.56 2.23 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-well-worn) [Jarza](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jarza) $5.79 8.27 coins $1.56 2.23 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) Hidden $5.79 8.27 coins $5.31 7.58 coins 0.92x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Charm | Diner Dog charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-diner-dog) Hidden $5.79 8.27 coins $1.26 1.8 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) Hidden $5.79 8.27 coins $5.31 7.58 coins 0.92x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-banana-cannon-factory-new) [Jarza](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jarza) $5.79 8.27 coins $4.26 6.09 coins 0.74x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[M4A4 | Polysoup (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.79 8.27 coins $11.38 16.26 coins 1.97x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $5.79 | 90.95% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $5.81 | 90.88% | 13 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $5.77 | 90.94% | 13 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 4.5% rare 1.5% uncommon 30.5% #eb4b4b 2.0% restricted 31.0% high 20.5% #d32ce6 10.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.95 on average: an expected loss of $9.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt