--- title: "Carry case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Carry ($7.11) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.89% from 21 items with odds, observed 93.77% over 17.3K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/carry rendered: 2026-11-11T13:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Carry](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/carry) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Carry A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/carry?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/carry?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/carry) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/carry?window=all) Price · $7.11 · 10.16 coins Advertised RTP · 90.89% · EV $6.46 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.77% · 17.3K openings, odds method Variance · 5.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 93.44% ±10.53 1,951 openings 7 days · 91.98% ±3.88 14.1K openings 30 days · 93.77% ±3.51 17.3K openings since tracking started · 93.77% ±3.51 17.3K openings 82.5% 93.5% 104.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/carry?window=24h) | 1,951 | 93.44% ±10.5 | +0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/carry?window=7d) | 14.1K | 91.98% ±3.88 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/carry) | 17.3K | 93.77% ±3.51 | +1.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/carry?window=all) | 17.3K | 93.77% ±3.51 | +1.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 17.3K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $199 284 coins | 1.5% | 14 | 8.7 | 1.62× | | [P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $108 154 coins | 1.7% | 18 | 17.3 | 1.04× | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 91 | $91.70 131 coins | 15.6% | 189 | 190.4 | 0.99× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $86.10 123 coins | 2.7% | 45 | 34.6 | 1.30× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $78.40 112 coins | 2.4% | 24 | 34.6 | 0.69× | | [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 286 | $70.70 101 coins | 3.8% | 56 | 60.6 | 0.92× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $60.39 86.27 coins | 3.3% | 65 | 60.6 | 1.07× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Arboreal (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-arboreal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $55.14 78.77 coins | 2.6% | 46 | 51.9 | 0.89× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-battle-scarred) | 1 in 77 | $52.26 74.66 coins | 10.5% | 240 | 225.1 | 1.07× | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $39.73 56.76 coins | 9.2% | 282 | 259.7 | 1.09× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $39.33 56.18 coins | 3.0% | 77 | 86.6 | 0.89× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $35.56 50.8 coins | 2.8% | 82 | 86.6 | 0.95× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $34.79 49.7 coins | 8.1% | 256 | 259.7 | 0.99× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred) (Emerald) gloves · extraordinary · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-gamma-doppler-battle-scarred-emerald) | 1 in 77 | $30.87 44.1 coins | 6.2% | 217 | 225.1 | 0.96× | | [USP-S \| Business Class (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-business-class-well-worn) | 1 in 57 | $28.34 40.49 coins | 7.7% | 337 | 303.0 | 1.11× | | [Desert Eagle \| Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $21.61 30.87 coins | 6.7% | 391 | 346.3 | 1.13× | | [Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-groundwater-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $13.61 19.45 coins | 4.2% | 321 | 346.3 | 0.93× | | [P250 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $10.25 14.64 coins | 7.9% | 913 | 865.7 | 1.05× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.1% | 4,309 | 4328.3 | 1.00× | | [Tec-9 \| Groundwater (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-groundwater-field-tested) | 30.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.1% | 5,105 | 5193.9 | 0.98× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 4,326 | 4328.3 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=carry) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $7.11 10.16 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) [UnfairScroll27](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/UnfairScroll27) $7.11 10.16 coins $108 154 coins 15.16x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-minimal-wear) [The Ghost](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/The%20Ghost) $7.11 10.16 coins $10.25 14.64 coins 1.44x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [UnfairScroll27](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/UnfairScroll27) $7.11 10.16 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Disznóbőr Dénes](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Diszn%C3%B3b%C5%91r%20D%C3%A9nes) $7.11 10.16 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Tec-9 | Groundwater (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-groundwater-field-tested) Hidden $7.11 10.16 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $7.11 10.16 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [Tec-9 | Groundwater (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-groundwater-field-tested) Hidden $7.11 10.16 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Santa Sniper](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Santa%20Sniper) $7.11 10.16 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $7.11 10.16 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $7.11 | 90.89% | 21 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $7.20 | 90.89% | 21 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $7.15 | 90.90% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 3.0% covert 4.4% mil spec 2.9% industrial 4.3% classified 5.4% consumer 80.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.89 on average: an expected loss of $9.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt