--- title: "Charming case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Charming ($1.68) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.70% over 105K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/charming rendered: 2026-11-11T12:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Charming](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/charming) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Charming A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/charming?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/charming?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/charming) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/charming?window=all) Price · $1.68 · 2.4 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.70% · 105K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 86.26% ±8.17 13.6K openings 7 days · 91.09% ±3.43 89K openings 30 days · 91.70% ±3.17 105K openings since tracking started · 91.70% ±3.17 105K openings 77.5% 86.5% 95.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/charming?window=24h) | 13.6K | 86.26% ±8.17 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/charming?window=7d) | 89K | 91.09% ±3.43 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/charming) | 105K | 91.70% ±3.17 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/charming?window=all) | 105K | 91.70% ±3.17 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins $160 229 coins 98.71x 2026-11-11 09:21 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins $160 229 coins 98.71x 2026-11-11 08:58 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins $160 229 coins 98.71x 2026-11-11 08:12 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins $160 229 coins 98.71x 2026-11-11 07:59 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-factory-new) [Kopa1668](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kopa1668) $1.62 2.32 coins $160 229 coins 98.71x 2026-11-10 21:27 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins $160 229 coins 98.71x 2026-11-10 17:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins $160 229 coins 98.71x 2026-11-10 15:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins $160 229 coins 98.71x 2026-11-10 13:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins $160 229 coins 98.71x 2026-11-10 10:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins $160 229 coins 98.71x 2026-11-10 00:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=charming) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:46 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:46 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) [si^b^rO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/si%5Eb%5ErO) $1.62 2.32 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:46 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [Charm | Hot Hands charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-hands) [si^b^rO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/si%5Eb%5ErO) $1.62 2.32 coins $0.36 0.52 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [Charm | Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins $0.16 0.23 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [Charm | Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins $0.16 0.23 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.62 2.32 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $160 (98.71x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.70 on average: an expected loss of $8.30 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt