--- title: "Cheatcode case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cheatcode ($22.51) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 27 items with odds, observed 91.16% over 10.8K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cheatcode rendered: 2026-11-11T13:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Cheatcode](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cheatcode) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Cheatcode A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cheatcode?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cheatcode?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cheatcode) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cheatcode?window=all) Price · $22.51 · 32.16 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $20.46 from 27 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.16% · 10.8K openings, odds method Variance · 10.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 93.77% ±18.75 1,155 openings 7 days · 88.80% ±6.95 8,441 openings 30 days · 91.16% ±6.14 10.8K openings since tracking started · 91.16% ±6.14 10.8K openings 74.5% 93.8% 113.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cheatcode?window=24h) | 1,155 | 93.77% ±18.7 | +0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cheatcode?window=7d) | 8,441 | 88.80% ±6.95 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cheatcode) | 10.8K | 91.16% ±6.14 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cheatcode?window=all) | 10.8K | 91.16% ±6.14 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.8K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 200,000 | $1,292 1,845 coins | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $865 1,235 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $646 923 coins | 0.9% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.93× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 333,333 | $569 813 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 5,000 | $563 804 coins | 0.6% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.93× | | [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $493 705 coins | 0.2% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.93× | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $489 699 coins | 12.0% | 65 | 54.1 | 1.20× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $377 539 coins | 9.2% | 54 | 54.1 | 1.00× | | [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $350 500 coins | 8.6% | 56 | 54.1 | 1.04× | | [Five-SeveN \| Fall Hazard (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fall-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $314 448 coins | 7.7% | 50 | 54.1 | 0.93× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 200 | $295 421 coins | 7.2% | 42 | 54.1 | 0.78× | | [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $279 398 coins | 6.8% | 49 | 54.1 | 0.91× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 200 | $267 382 coins | 6.5% | 55 | 54.1 | 1.02× | | [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $232 332 coins | 5.7% | 55 | 54.1 | 1.02× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 200 | $204 291 coins | 5.0% | 61 | 54.1 | 1.13× | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 200 | $204 291 coins | 5.0% | 55 | 54.1 | 1.02× | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $174 249 coins | 4.3% | 50 | 54.1 | 0.93× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $152 217 coins | 3.7% | 48 | 54.1 | 0.89× | | [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $151 215 coins | 3.7% | 55 | 54.1 | 1.02× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $126 180 coins | 3.1% | 54 | 54.1 | 1.00× | | [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $124 177 coins | 3.0% | 50 | 54.1 | 0.93× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 200 | $106 151 coins | 2.6% | 58 | 54.1 | 1.07× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $77.00 110 coins | 1.9% | 55 | 54.1 | 1.02× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 133 | $40.21 57.44 coins | 1.5% | 72 | 81.1 | 0.89× | | [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 146 | $21.34 30.48 coins | 0.7% | 64 | 74.0 | 0.87× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 45.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 4,856 | 4864.5 | 1.00× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 45.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 4,899 | 4864.5 | 1.01× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $22.50 32.14 coins $1,292 1,845 coins 57.41x 2026-11-03 09:35 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $22.50 32.14 coins $655 935 coins 29.09x 2026-11-07 16:29 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $22.50 32.14 coins $655 935 coins 29.09x 2026-11-07 06:00 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $22.51 32.16 coins $646 923 coins 28.70x 2026-11-10 21:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $22.50 32.14 coins $563 804 coins 25.02x 2026-11-04 18:13 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $22.50 32.14 coins $563 804 coins 25.02x 2026-11-04 14:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Der beste Uwe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Der%20beste%20Uwe) $22.50 32.14 coins $563 804 coins 25.02x 2026-11-02 22:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $22.50 32.14 coins $513 733 coins 22.81x 2026-11-08 15:52 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) [GAMASIAK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/GAMASIAK) $22.50 32.14 coins $513 733 coins 22.81x 2026-11-07 23:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) [bot maor](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/bot%20maor) $22.50 32.14 coins $513 733 coins 22.81x 2026-11-07 22:39 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=cheatcode) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $22.51 32.16 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $22.51 32.16 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $22.51 32.16 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $22.51 32.16 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Edvino](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Edvino) $22.51 32.16 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $22.51 32.16 coins $489 699 coins 21.74x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $22.51 32.16 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $22.51 32.16 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $22.51 32.16 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $22.51 32.16 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $22.51 | 90.90% | 27 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $22.55 | 90.90% | 27 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $22.50 | 90.92% | 27 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.5% covert 5.8% rare 0.5% classified 1.5% high 0.5% restricted 1.2% consumer 90.0% best hit $1,292 (57.41x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt