---
title: "Circuitboard case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Circuitboard ($91.02) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 11 items with odds, observed 86.22% over 117 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/circuitboard
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Circuitboard](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/circuitboard)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Circuitboard

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/circuitboard?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/circuitboard?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/circuitboard) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/circuitboard?window=all)

Price · $91.02 · 130 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $82.75 from 11 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.22% · 117 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 57.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 14 openings · below min

7 days · 73 openings · below min

30 days · 86.22% ±29.70 117 openings

since tracking started · 86.22% ±29.70 117 openings

39.0% 125.3% 211.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/circuitboard?window=24h) | 14 | 125.07% ±85.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/circuitboard?window=7d) | 73 | 83.28% ±37.6 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/circuitboard) | 117 | 86.22% ±29.7 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/circuitboard?window=all) | 117 | 86.22% ±29.7 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 117 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 333 | $2,100 3,000 coins | 7.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $676 966 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $627 896 coins | 3.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $618 883 coins | 7.5% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.56× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $312 445 coins | 9.4% | 0 | 2.9 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $197 281 coins | 21.4% | 15 | 10.5 | 1.42× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $144 206 coins | 7.0% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $100 143 coins | 30.2% | 24 | 29.3 | 0.82× |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $27.74 39.63 coins | 6.7% | 30 | 23.4 | 1.28× |
| [Nova \| Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-modern-hunter-field-tested) | 25.6% | $16.47 23.53 coins | 5.1% | 29 | 30.0 | 0.97× |
| [Souvenir AUG \| Condemned (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-condemned-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $3.37 4.81 coins | 0.5% | 11 | 14.0 | 0.78× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $91.02 130 coins $618 883 coins 6.79x 2026-11-10 16:22 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $94.39 135 coins $618 883 coins 6.55x 2026-11-03 21:49 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $94.39 135 coins $618 883 coins 6.55x 2026-11-03 11:45 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=circuitboard)

[Nova | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-modern-hunter-field-tested) Hidden $91.02 130 coins $16.47 23.53 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

[Nova | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-modern-hunter-field-tested) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $91.02 130 coins $16.47 23.53 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

[Souvenir AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-condemned-minimal-wear) Hidden $91.02 130 coins $3.37 4.81 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 01:35 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) Hidden $91.02 130 coins $144 206 coins 1.58x 2026-11-11 01:35 UTC

[AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) Hidden $91.02 130 coins $27.74 39.63 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 01:35 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) Hidden $91.02 130 coins $197 281 coins 2.16x 2026-11-11 01:35 UTC

[Nova | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-modern-hunter-field-tested) Hidden $91.02 130 coins $16.47 23.53 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 01:35 UTC

[Nova | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-modern-hunter-field-tested) [FaLLouT'z](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/FaLLouT'z) $91.02 130 coins $16.47 23.53 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 01:35 UTC

[AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) Hidden $91.02 130 coins $27.74 39.63 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 16:22 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $91.02 130 coins $618 883 coins 6.79x 2026-11-10 16:22 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $91.02 | 90.91% | 11 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $91.02 | 90.91% | 11 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $94.39 | 90.91% | 11 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 41.8% extraordinary 0.6% classified 20.0% mil spec 25.6% industrial 12.0% best hit $618 (6.79x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt