--- title: "Classified case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Classified ($1.30) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.67% from 9 items with odds, observed 90.02% over 25.7K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/classified rendered: 2026-11-11T15:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Classified](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/classified) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Classified A case on CSGORoll (30%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/classified?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/classified?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/classified) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/classified?window=all) Price · $1.30 · 1.85 coins Advertised RTP · 90.67% · EV $1.17 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.02% · 25.7K openings, odds method Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 19.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.99% ±6.42 1,945 openings 7 days · 90.05% ±1.96 21.3K openings 30 days · 90.02% ±1.79 25.7K openings since tracking started · 90.02% ±1.79 25.7K openings 82.0% 89.0% 96.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/classified?window=24h) | 1,945 | 88.99% ±6.42 | −0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/classified?window=7d) | 21.3K | 90.05% ±1.96 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/classified) | 25.7K | 90.02% ±1.79 | −1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/classified?window=all) | 25.7K | 90.02% ±1.79 | −1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 25.7K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $33.42 47.74 coins | 0.3% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.78× | | [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) | 1 in 80 | $11.24 16.06 coins | 12.0% | 276 | 321.5 | 0.86× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $4.69 6.7 coins | 35.9% | 2,400 | 2314.4 | 1.04× | | [Five-SeveN \| Kami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $4.26 6.08 coins | 0.9% | 53 | 64.3 | 0.82× | | [Dual Berettas \| Cartel (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $3.37 4.82 coins | 25.9% | 2,274 | 2314.4 | 0.98× | | [PP-Bizon \| Cobalt Halftone (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-cobalt-halftone-well-worn) | 10.5% | $0.84 1.2 coins | 7.5% | 2,705 | 2697.6 | 1.00× | | [P2000 \| Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) | 30.0% | $0.31 0.44 coins | 7.9% | 7,873 | 7714.8 | 1.02× | | [MP9 \| Bioleak (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.29 0.42 coins | 5.0% | 5,019 | 5143.2 | 0.98× | | [R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.27 0.39 coins | 4.7% | 5,114 | 5143.2 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=classified) [P2000 | Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) Hidden $1.30 1.85 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 15:26 UTC [PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-cobalt-halftone-well-worn) Hidden $1.30 1.85 coins $0.84 1.2 coins 0.65x 2026-11-11 15:26 UTC [P2000 | Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) Hidden $1.30 1.85 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 15:26 UTC [PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-cobalt-halftone-well-worn) Hidden $1.30 1.85 coins $0.84 1.2 coins 0.65x 2026-11-11 15:26 UTC [P2000 | Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) [Eki🦊](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Eki%F0%9F%A6%8A) $1.30 1.85 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 15:26 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.30 1.85 coins $0.27 0.39 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 15:26 UTC [P2000 | Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) Hidden $1.30 1.85 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [P2000 | Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) Hidden $1.30 1.85 coins $0.31 0.44 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-battle-scarred) [Bästa Pingle](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/B%C3%A4sta%20Pingle) $1.30 1.85 coins $0.27 0.39 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [MP9 | Bioleak (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-field-tested) Hidden $1.30 1.85 coins $0.29 0.42 coins 0.23x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $1.30 | 90.67% | 9 | | 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $1.29 | 90.67% | 9 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $1.27 | 90.75% | 9 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.30 | 91.04% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% classified 1.3% restricted 9.0% mil spec 69.7% milspec 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.67 on average: an expected loss of $9.33 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt