--- title: "Clean Case case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Clean Case ($110.05) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 15 items with odds, observed 78.77% over 36 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/clean-case rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Clean Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/clean-case) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Clean Case A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/clean-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/clean-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/clean-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/clean-case?window=all) Price · $110.05 · 157 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $100.05 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.77% · 36 openings, odds method Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 24.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 66.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 36 openings · below min 30 days · 36 openings · below min since tracking started · 36 openings · below min 52.5% 78.8% 105.0% **Small sample.** 36 openings and 8.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/clean-case?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/clean-case?window=7d) | 36 | 78.77% ±25.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/clean-case) | 36 | 78.77% ±25.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/clean-case?window=all) | 36 | 78.77% ±25.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 36 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $473 676 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $263 375 coins | 5.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [P250 \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $260 371 coins | 13.0% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× | | [P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $218 312 coins | 13.1% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 10.0% | $186 266 coins | 18.6% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.11× | | [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $174 249 coins | 3.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $118 169 coins | 9.5% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.39× | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $102 145 coins | 6.1% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.93× | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $95.20 136 coins | 7.6% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.04× | | [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $51.53 73.61 coins | 4.1% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.04× | | [P250 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $51.53 73.61 coins | 4.6% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $40.12 57.31 coins | 3.2% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.39× | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $26.49 37.84 coins | 2.4% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.23× | | [SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $25.26 36.08 coins | 2.0% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.04× | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $23.32 33.31 coins | 2.3% | 6 | 3.6 | 1.67× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=clean-case) [AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) Hidden $110 157 coins $51.53 73.61 coins 0.47x 2026-11-10 05:25 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) Hidden $110 157 coins $186 266 coins 1.69x 2026-11-10 05:25 UTC [P250 | Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-factory-new) Hidden $110 157 coins $260 371 coins 2.36x 2026-11-10 05:25 UTC [SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-factory-new) [BeastafiedBeast](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BeastafiedBeast) $110 157 coins $25.26 36.08 coins 0.23x 2026-11-10 05:25 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) [MM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/MM) $111 159 coins $179 255 coins 1.61x 2026-11-07 20:05 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) Hidden $111 159 coins $95.90 137 coins 0.86x 2026-11-07 20:05 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) Hidden $111 159 coins $95.90 137 coins 0.86x 2026-11-07 20:05 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) Hidden $111 159 coins $22.09 31.56 coins 0.20x 2026-11-07 20:05 UTC [P250 | Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-factory-new) Hidden $111 159 coins $281 402 coins 2.53x 2026-11-07 20:05 UTC [AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) [560 HP](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/560%20HP) $111 159 coins $39.91 57.02 coins 0.36x 2026-11-07 20:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $110 | 90.91% | 15 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $110 | 90.91% | 15 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $111 | 90.91% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 43.0% mil spec 14.0% classified 43.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt