--- title: "Click case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Click ($238.40) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 17 items with odds, observed 91.23% over 22 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/click rendered: 2026-11-11T19:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Click](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/click) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Click A case on CSGORoll (60%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/click?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/click?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/click) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/click?window=all) Price · $238.40 · 341 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $216.73 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.23% · 22 openings, odds method Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 38.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 56.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 18 openings · below min 30 days · 22 openings · below min since tracking started · 22 openings · below min 43.0% 88.5% 134.0% **Small sample.** 22 openings and 8.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/click?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/click?window=7d) | 18 | 88.33% ±44.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/click) | 22 | 91.23% ±40.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/click?window=all) | 22 | 91.23% ±40.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 22 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 5,000 | $5,817 8,310 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 3,333 | $2,667 3,810 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $1,373 1,962 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,292 1,845 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,000 1,429 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 100 | $872 1,246 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 25 | $456 651 coins | 8.4% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) | 1 in 67 | $440 628 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $414 592 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $398 568 coins | 11.0% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.52× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $390 557 coins | 9.0% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.73× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-factory-new) | 16.6% | $370 529 coins | 28.4% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.82× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 17 | $356 508 coins | 9.8% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 16.0% | $193 275 coins | 14.2% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.14× | | [USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 13.0% | $2.99 4.27 coins | 0.2% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.40× | | [P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) | 13.0% | $1.81 2.59 coins | 0.1% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.35× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) | 14.0% | $0.78 1.11 coins | 0.1% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.97× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=click) [USP-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) [Cecil Tyler](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Cecil%20Tyler) $238 341 coins $2.99 4.27 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:27 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) Hidden $238 341 coins $0.78 1.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:27 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-factory-new) Hidden $238 341 coins $370 529 coins 1.55x 2026-11-09 17:27 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-factory-new) Hidden $238 341 coins $370 529 coins 1.55x 2026-11-09 17:27 UTC [USP-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) [Cecil Tyler](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Cecil%20Tyler) $238 341 coins $2.99 4.27 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:26 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $238 341 coins $193 275 coins 0.81x 2026-11-09 17:26 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $238 341 coins $193 275 coins 0.81x 2026-11-09 17:26 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-well-worn) Hidden $238 341 coins $390 557 coins 1.64x 2026-11-09 17:26 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $246 351 coins $0.78 1.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-04 21:19 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $246 351 coins $193 275 coins 0.78x 2026-11-04 21:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $238 | 90.91% | 17 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $238 | 90.91% | 17 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $246 | 90.91% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 42.6% extraordinary 17.4% restricted 27.0% classified 13.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt