--- title: "Cold Hands case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cold Hands ($0.80) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.06% from 8 items with odds, observed 91.33% over 36.8K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cold-hands rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Cold Hands](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cold-hands) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Cold Hands A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cold-hands?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cold-hands?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cold-hands) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cold-hands?window=all) Price · $0.80 · 1.14 coins Advertised RTP · 91.06% · EV $0.73 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.33% · 36.8K openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 17.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 91.44% ±5.45 2,340 openings 7 days · 91.65% ±1.50 30.3K openings 30 days · 91.33% ±1.36 36.8K openings since tracking started · 91.33% ±1.36 36.8K openings 85.5% 91.5% 97.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cold-hands?window=24h) | 2,340 | 91.44% ±5.45 | +0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cold-hands?window=7d) | 30.3K | 91.65% ±1.50 | +1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cold-hands) | 36.8K | 91.33% ±1.36 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cold-hands?window=all) | 36.8K | 91.33% ±1.36 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 36.9K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100,000 | $144 205 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Buckshot (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $38.19 54.56 coins | 1.0% | 8 | 7.0 | 1.14× | | [MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $3.08 4.4 coins | 21.1% | 1,816 | 1838.2 | 0.99× | | [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-battle-scarred) | 12.5% | $1.70 2.43 coins | 29.3% | 4,709 | 4613.9 | 1.02× | | [PP-Bizon \| Water Sigil (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-water-sigil-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $1.59 2.27 coins | 27.3% | 4,646 | 4613.9 | 1.01× | | [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-well-worn) | 20.0% | $0.33 0.47 coins | 9.1% | 7,358 | 7382.2 | 1.00× | | [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.32 0.45 coins | 10.8% | 9,162 | 9227.8 | 0.99× | | [Galil AR \| Cold Fusion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 1.2% | 9,212 | 9227.8 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=cold-hands) [Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.80 1.14 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-well-worn) Hidden $0.80 1.14 coins $0.33 0.47 coins 0.41x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-battle-scarred) [HarteN ❤ R](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/HarteN%20%E2%9D%A4%20R) $0.80 1.14 coins $1.70 2.43 coins 2.13x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-water-sigil-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.80 1.14 coins $1.59 2.27 coins 1.99x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.80 1.14 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-battle-scarred) [HarteN ❤ R](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/HarteN%20%E2%9D%A4%20R) $0.80 1.14 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.80 1.14 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.80 1.14 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-battle-scarred) [HarteN ❤ R](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/HarteN%20%E2%9D%A4%20R) $0.80 1.14 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.80 1.14 coins $0.32 0.45 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | $0.80 | 91.06% | 8 | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $0.82 | 91.07% | 8 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $0.83 | 91.27% | 8 | | 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | $0.81 | 91.15% | 8 | | 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.78 | 90.95% | 8 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.80 | 90.56% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% mil spec 62.5% restricted 12.5% industrial 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.06 on average: an expected loss of $8.94 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt