---
title: "Comet case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Comet ($2,746.94) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 26 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/comet
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Comet](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/comet)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Comet

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/comet?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/comet?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/comet) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/comet?window=all)

Price · $2,746.94 · 3,924 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $2,497.22 from 26 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 3.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/comet?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/comet?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/comet) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/comet?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $63.7K 90,950 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) IBP (Holo) + 3x Titan (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new-ibp-holo-3x-titan-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $63K 90,000 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $53.5K 76,380 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $30.5K 43,565 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $27.5K 39,250 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) 4x IBP (Holo) (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear-4x-ibp-holo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $26.3K 37,500 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) | 1 in 250 | $22.4K 32,005 coins | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 143 | $20.8K 29,650 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 33 | $12.6K 18,050 coins | 15.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $10.6K 15,130 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 111 | $9,342 13,345 coins | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $9,240 13,200 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $6,941 9,915 coins | 9.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 125 | $6,241 8,915 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 50 | $5,978 8,540 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $5,688 8,125 coins | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $1,865 2,665 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $1,407 2,010 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $1,301 1,859 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $1,165 1,664 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $1,067 1,524 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 14 | $643 918 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 13 | $617 882 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 10.0% | $573 818 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 13.0% | $419 599 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) | 17.0% | $225 321 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=comet)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $2,747 | 90.91% | 26 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $2,765 | 90.91% | 26 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 8.1% extraordinary 32.9% base 0.4% remarkable 0.7% covert 50.9% contraband 1.0% restricted 6.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt