--- title: "Cowboy case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cowboy ($4.58) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.87% from 20 items with odds, observed 89.32% over 13.2K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cowboy rendered: 2026-11-11T15:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Cowboy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cowboy) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Cowboy A case on CSGORoll (20%, gloves, pistols), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cowboy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cowboy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cowboy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cowboy?window=all) Price · $4.58 · 6.54 coins Advertised RTP · 90.87% · EV $4.16 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.32% · 13.2K openings, odds method Variance · 41.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 108 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 72.64% ±30.86 1,655 openings 7 days · 84.97% ±12.34 10.2K openings 30 days · 89.32% ±10.85 13.2K openings since tracking started · 89.32% ±10.85 13.2K openings 41.0% 72.5% 104.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cowboy?window=24h) | 1,655 | 72.64% ±30.9 | −1.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cowboy?window=7d) | 10.2K | 84.97% ±12.3 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cowboy) | 13.2K | 89.32% ±10.9 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cowboy?window=all) | 13.2K | 89.32% ±10.9 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13.2K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,292 1,845 coins | 3.1% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.28× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Leather (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $751 1,073 coins | 3.6% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.76× | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $563 804 coins | 6.8% | 4 | 6.6 | 0.61× | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $378 540 coins | 6.4% | 7 | 9.2 | 0.76× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $360 514 coins | 7.8% | 8 | 11.9 | 0.67× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $310 443 coins | 7.5% | 15 | 13.2 | 1.14× | | [Dual Berettas \| Duelist (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $219 313 coins | 5.8% | 13 | 14.5 | 0.90× | | [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-cobra-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 769 | $159 227 coins | 5.0% | 17 | 17.1 | 0.99× | | [Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-twin-turbo-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $82.60 118 coins | 3.0% | 15 | 19.8 | 0.76× | | [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $76.30 109 coins | 3.7% | 32 | 26.4 | 1.21× | | [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-llama-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $48.82 69.75 coins | 2.9% | 45 | 33.0 | 1.37× | | [Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 118 | $23.63 33.75 coins | 4.8% | 101 | 112.1 | 0.90× | | [R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $9.55 13.64 coins | 3.9% | 237 | 224.1 | 1.06× | | [Sticker \| New Sheriff (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-new-sheriff-foil) | 1 in 33 | $7.19 10.27 coins | 5.2% | 394 | 395.5 | 1.00× | | [R8 Revolver \| Phoenix Marker (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-phoenix-marker-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $6.73 9.61 coins | 9.8% | 838 | 800.2 | 1.05× | | [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $4.37 6.24 coins | 7.6% | 961 | 949.2 | 1.01× | | [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $3.23 4.62 coins | 5.8% | 1,010 | 988.7 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $1.91 2.73 coins | 3.9% | 1,143 | 1120.6 | 1.02× | | [Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Oil Change (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-oil-change-factory-new) | 32.0% | $0.39 0.55 coins | 3.0% | 4,131 | 4218.6 | 0.98× | | [Dual Berettas \| Stained (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-field-tested) | 32.0% | $0.08 0.11 coins | 0.6% | 4,207 | 4218.6 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $4.58 6.54 coins $1,292 1,845 coins 282.1x 2026-11-09 13:31 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $4.72 6.74 coins $1,292 1,845 coins 273.7x 2026-11-06 17:56 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $4.72 6.74 coins $1,292 1,845 coins 273.7x 2026-11-03 02:05 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-factory-new) Hidden $4.58 6.54 coins $751 1,073 coins 164.1x 2026-11-09 13:27 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-factory-new) Hidden $4.72 6.74 coins $751 1,073 coins 159.2x 2026-11-03 12:29 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [User#133](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/User%23133) $4.72 6.74 coins $573 818 coins 121.4x 2026-11-07 15:33 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Martynas :)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Martynas%20%3A%29) $4.72 6.74 coins $573 818 coins 121.4x 2026-11-06 16:32 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $4.72 6.74 coins $573 818 coins 121.4x 2026-11-03 10:47 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $4.58 6.54 coins $563 804 coins 122.9x 2026-11-11 12:05 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.72 6.74 coins $389 555 coins 82.34x 2026-11-07 18:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=cowboy) [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $4.58 6.54 coins $1.91 2.73 coins 0.42x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-field-tested) Hidden $4.58 6.54 coins $0.08 0.11 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-field-tested) Hidden $4.58 6.54 coins $0.08 0.11 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $4.58 6.54 coins $1.91 2.73 coins 0.42x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-field-tested) Hidden $4.58 6.54 coins $0.08 0.11 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC [Sticker | New Sheriff (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-new-sheriff-foil) [snitch9ine](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/snitch9ine) $4.58 6.54 coins $7.19 10.27 coins 1.57x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-oil-change-factory-new) [snitch9ine](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/snitch9ine) $4.58 6.54 coins $0.39 0.55 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 15:09 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-oil-change-factory-new) Hidden $4.58 6.54 coins $0.39 0.55 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 15:09 UTC [Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-factory-new) Hidden $4.58 6.54 coins $4.37 6.24 coins 0.95x 2026-11-11 15:09 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-oil-change-factory-new) Hidden $4.58 6.54 coins $0.39 0.55 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 15:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $4.58 | 90.87% | 20 | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $4.57 | 90.91% | 20 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $4.58 | 90.92% | 20 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $4.67 | 90.93% | 20 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $4.72 | 90.91% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.1% rare 0.1% restricted 8.5% legendary 0.1% classified 0.5% covert 0.2% mil spec 10.2% exotic 3.0% industrial 38.1% uncommon 7.2% consumer 32.0% best hit $1,292 (282.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.87 on average: an expected loss of $9.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt