---
title: "Creatures case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Creatures ($49.41) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 17 items with odds, observed 105.44% over 180 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/creatures
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Creatures](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/creatures)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Creatures

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/creatures?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/creatures?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/creatures) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/creatures?window=all)

Price · $49.41 · 70.58 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $44.92 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 105.44% · 180 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 64.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 20 openings · below min

7 days · 96.59% ±22.98 133 openings

30 days · 105.44% ±19.76 180 openings

since tracking started · 105.44% ±19.76 180 openings

12.5% 72.5% 132.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/creatures?window=24h) | 20 | 72.52% ±59.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/creatures?window=7d) | 133 | 96.59% ±23.0 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/creatures) | 180 | 105.44% ±19.8 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/creatures?window=all) | 180 | 105.44% ±19.8 | +1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 180 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Well-Worn) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-well-worn) | 1 in 100,000 | $4,277 6,110 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,921 2,745 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $784 1,120 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $307 438 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $226 323 coins | 35.2% | 16 | 12.6 | 1.27× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $169 242 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $128 183 coins | 0.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $116 166 coins | 3.9% | 6 | 2.7 | 2.22× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $113 161 coins | 10.0% | 9 | 7.2 | 1.25× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $103 147 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $87.50 125 coins | 5.8% | 3 | 5.4 | 0.56× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $86.10 123 coins | 1.9% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-minimal-wear) | 18.0% | $62.50 89.29 coins | 25.0% | 36 | 32.4 | 1.11× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $32.82 46.89 coins | 5.8% | 18 | 14.4 | 1.25× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Devourer (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-devourer-factory-new) | 12.0% | $15.58 22.25 coins | 4.2% | 19 | 21.6 | 0.88× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 16.0% | $8.51 12.16 coins | 3.0% | 31 | 28.8 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Tiger Moth (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-tiger-moth-field-tested) | 28.7% | $1.87 2.67 coins | 1.2% | 39 | 51.6 | 0.76× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=creatures)

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-tiger-moth-field-tested) Hidden $49.41 70.58 coins $1.87 2.67 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 04:40 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-tiger-moth-field-tested) [Medical Shit](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Medical%20Shit) $49.41 70.58 coins $1.87 2.67 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 04:40 UTC

[Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-minimal-wear) Hidden $49.41 70.58 coins $62.50 89.29 coins 1.27x 2026-11-11 04:40 UTC

[Nova | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-well-worn) [Avyrian](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Avyrian) $49.41 70.58 coins $8.51 12.16 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 04:40 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-tiger-moth-field-tested) [MASON92J](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/MASON92J) $49.41 70.58 coins $1.87 2.67 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 04:12 UTC

[Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-minimal-wear) Hidden $49.41 70.58 coins $62.50 89.29 coins 1.27x 2026-11-11 04:12 UTC

[Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-minimal-wear) Hidden $49.41 70.58 coins $62.50 89.29 coins 1.27x 2026-11-11 04:12 UTC

[Nova | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-well-worn) Hidden $49.41 70.58 coins $8.51 12.16 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 04:12 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-tiger-moth-field-tested) Hidden $49.41 70.58 coins $1.87 2.67 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:17 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-tiger-moth-field-tested) Hidden $49.41 70.58 coins $1.87 2.67 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:17 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $49.41 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $49.82 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $50.74 | 90.91% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed contraband 0.0% legendary 0.0% covert 38.8% extraordinary 4.6% classified 28.0% restricted 28.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt