--- title: "Crowned case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Crowned ($1,600.38) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 21 items with odds, observed 175.92% over 1 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/crowned rendered: 2026-11-11T13:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Crowned](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/crowned) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Crowned A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/crowned?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/crowned?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/crowned) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/crowned?window=all) Price · $1,600.38 · 2,286 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $1,454.89 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · 175.92% · 1 openings, odds method Variance · 3.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.7% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 1 openings · below min since tracking started · 1 openings · below min -0.5% 264.8% 530.0% **Small sample.** 1 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/crowned?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/crowned?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/crowned) | 1 | 175.92% ±353.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/crowned?window=all) | 1 | 175.92% ±353.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Factory New) 4x Titan (Holo) (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new-4x-titan-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $31.5K 45,000 coins | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Factory New) 4x IBP (Holo) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new-4x-ibp-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $22.8K 32,500 coins | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $11.6K 16,550 coins | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $7,297 10,425 coins | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $6,808 9,725 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 182 | $6,657 9,510 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 133 | $6,241 8,915 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 154 | $5,978 8,540 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $4,305 6,150 coins | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 125 | $3,930 5,615 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $2,716 3,880 coins | 5.6% | 1 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 29 | $1,576 2,251 coins | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 25 | $1,438 2,054 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $1,204 1,720 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $1,096 1,566 coins | 4.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Foundation (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-foundation-minimal-wear) | 14.0% | $971 1,387 coins | 9.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 12.0% | $856 1,223 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 20 | $816 1,166 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 10.0% | $630 900 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 13 | $563 804 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 19.4% | $329 470 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-well-worn) [Traceur](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Traceur) $1,594 2,277 coins $2,804 4,005 coins 1.76x 2026-11-04 01:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=crowned) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $1,600 | 90.91% | 21 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,594 | 90.91% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 2.9% covert 59.8% contraband 1.0% extraordinary 17.0% exotic 19.4% best hit $2,804 (1.76x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt