--- title: "Curtpur case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Curtpur ($24.99) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 20 items with odds, observed 101.79% over 6,692 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/curtpur rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Curtpur](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/curtpur) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Curtpur A case on CSGORoll (partners), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/curtpur?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/curtpur?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/curtpur) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/curtpur?window=all) Price · $24.99 · 35.7 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $22.72 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 101.79% · 6,692 openings, odds method Variance · 501.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 1,333 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 781 openings · below min 7 days · 5,366 openings · below min 30 days · 101.79% ±53.43 6,692 openings since tracking started · 101.79% ±53.43 6,692 openings 44.0% 214.0% 384.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/curtpur?window=24h) | 781 | 226.38% ±157.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/curtpur?window=7d) | 5,366 | 104.33% ±59.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/curtpur) | 6,692 | 101.79% ±53.4 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/curtpur?window=all) | 6,692 | 101.79% ±53.4 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,692 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 4,000 | $25K 35,730 coins | 27.5% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 4,000 | $17.6K 25,125 coins | 19.4% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 4,000 | $10.3K 14,660 coins | 11.3% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,000 | $9,370 13,385 coins | 10.3% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-well-worn) | 1 in 4,000 | $7,297 10,425 coins | 8.0% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 4,000 | $6,780 9,685 coins | 7.5% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) | 1 in 4,000 | $3,164 4,520 coins | 3.5% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.39× | | [M4A1-S \| Knight (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,000 | $2,653 3,790 coins | 2.9% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.39× | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $1,928 2,755 coins | 2.1% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $1,295 1,850 coins | 1.4% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $1,288 1,840 coins | 1.4% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.79× | | [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,000 | $1,047 1,495 coins | 1.2% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.39× | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 1 in 4,000 | $963 1,376 coins | 1.1% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.79× | | [Sticker \| kennyS (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kennys-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 4,000 | $871 1,244 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,000 | $700 1,000 coins | 0.8% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.39× | | [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,000 | $631 902 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| Kawaii CT (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-ct-holo) | 1 in 4,000 | $4.67 6.67 coins | 0.0% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Kawaii Killer CT graffiti · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-kawaii-killer-ct) | 1 in 4,000 | $3.00 4.29 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Kawaii Killer Terrorist graffiti · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-kawaii-killer-terrorist) | 1 in 4,000 | $2.07 2.95 coins | 0.0% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 99.5% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 6,654 | 6660.2 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) Hidden $25.36 36.23 coins $25K 35,730 coins 986.2x 2026-11-07 18:48 UTC [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) Hidden $24.99 35.7 coins $25K 35,730 coins 1,001x 2026-11-10 14:46 UTC [Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) [$!TheHeadhunter](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%24!TheHeadhunter) $24.99 35.7 coins $17.6K 25,125 coins 703.8x 2026-11-08 23:29 UTC [Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) [Gyzmo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Gyzmo) $25.36 36.23 coins $17.6K 25,125 coins 693.5x 2026-11-03 19:08 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $24.99 35.7 coins $10.3K 14,660 coins 410.6x 2026-11-10 16:09 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $25.36 36.23 coins $10.3K 14,660 coins 404.6x 2026-11-07 04:44 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) [Robond](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Robond) $25.36 36.23 coins $7,479 10,685 coins 294.9x 2026-11-06 23:09 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-well-worn) Hidden $25.36 36.23 coins $7,476 10,680 coins 294.8x 2026-11-05 22:38 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-well-worn) Hidden $25.36 36.23 coins $7,476 10,680 coins 294.8x 2026-11-02 22:38 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) Hidden $24.99 35.7 coins $3,164 4,520 coins 126.6x 2026-11-10 17:13 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=curtpur) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $24.99 35.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $24.99 35.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $24.99 35.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $24.99 35.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [azi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/azi) $24.99 35.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $24.99 35.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:11 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [dana](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/dana) $24.99 35.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:11 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [Ajax absult 100%](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Ajax%20absult%20100%25) $24.99 35.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:11 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $24.99 35.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:52 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $24.99 35.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $24.99 | 90.92% | 20 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $24.99 | 90.92% | 20 | | 3 Nov, 16:07 UTC | $25.36 | 90.90% | 20 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $25.36 | 90.90% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed base 0.0% legendary 0.1% remarkable 0.1% covert 0.2% contraband 0.0% high 0.0% classified 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% violet 0.0% consumer 99.5% best hit $25K (986.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt