---
title: "Cushion case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Cushion ($18.46) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 17 items with odds, observed 88.49% over 895 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Cushion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Cushion

A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion?window=all)

Price · $18.46 · 26.37 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $16.78 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.49% · 895 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 118.45% ±34.06 106 openings

7 days · 88.91% ±12.63 780 openings

30 days · 88.49% ±11.79 895 openings

since tracking started · 88.49% ±11.79 895 openings

75.5% 114.3% 153.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion?window=24h) | 106 | 118.45% ±34.1 | +1.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion?window=7d) | 780 | 88.91% ±12.6 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion) | 895 | 88.49% ±11.8 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion?window=all) | 895 | 88.49% ±11.8 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 899 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-badlands-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $366 523 coins | 8.7% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $279 398 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $226 323 coins | 13.5% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $51.07 72.95 coins | 3.0% | 11 | 9.0 | 1.22× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $47.66 68.09 coins | 2.8% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.89× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $46.44 66.34 coins | 2.8% | 10 | 9.0 | 1.11× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $39.71 56.73 coins | 2.4% | 10 | 9.0 | 1.11× |
| [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $36.81 52.59 coins | 2.2% | 11 | 9.0 | 1.22× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $29.14 41.63 coins | 1.7% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.89× |
| [USP-S \| Business Class (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-business-class-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $29.08 41.55 coins | 1.7% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.89× |
| [UMP-45 \| Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $26.87 38.38 coins | 5.6% | 37 | 31.5 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-fleet-flock-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $24.85 35.5 coins | 1.5% | 10 | 9.0 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-turbo-peek-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $23.72 33.88 coins | 4.2% | 22 | 27.0 | 0.82× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $21.74 31.06 coins | 1.9% | 13 | 13.5 | 0.96× |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $21.55 30.78 coins | 1.9% | 22 | 13.5 | 1.63× |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $15.88 22.69 coins | 0.9% | 13 | 9.0 | 1.45× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 80.0% | $9.09 12.98 coins | 43.3% | 705 | 719.2 | 0.98× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=cushion)

[Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.46 26.37 coins $9.09 12.98 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.46 26.37 coins $9.09 12.98 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.46 26.37 coins $47.66 68.09 coins 2.58x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.46 26.37 coins $9.09 12.98 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.46 26.37 coins $9.09 12.98 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-battle-scarred) [᠌ ᠌Liwon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%E1%A0%8C%20%E1%A0%8CLiwon) $18.46 26.37 coins $9.09 12.98 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.46 26.37 coins $9.09 12.98 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.46 26.37 coins $9.09 12.98 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-battle-scarred) [BiO-HaZarD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BiO-HaZarD) $18.46 26.37 coins $9.09 12.98 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.46 26.37 coins $9.09 12.98 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $18.46 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $19.03 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $19.27 | 90.89% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.4% classified 8.1% covert 5.0% Mythical 1.0% mil spec 2.0% industrial 3.5% restricted 80.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt