---
title: "Cyborg case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Cyborg ($19.91) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 13 items with odds, observed 84.16% over 9,702 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cyborg
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Cyborg](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cyborg)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Cyborg

A case on CSGORoll (5%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cyborg?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cyborg?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cyborg) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cyborg?window=all)

Price · $19.91 · 28.44 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $18.10 from 13 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.16% · 9,702 openings, odds method

Variance · 48.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 111 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 77.94% ±36.87 1,363 openings

7 days · 86.16% ±14.84 8,368 openings

30 days · 84.16% ±13.77 9,702 openings

since tracking started · 84.16% ±13.77 9,702 openings

40.5% 78.0% 115.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cyborg?window=24h) | 1,363 | 77.94% ±36.9 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cyborg?window=7d) | 8,368 | 86.16% ±14.8 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cyborg) | 9,702 | 84.16% ±13.8 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cyborg?window=all) | 9,702 | 84.16% ±13.8 | −1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,714 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,982 4,260 coins | 8.2% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.82× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $1,921 2,745 coins | 26.5% | 19 | 24.3 | 0.78× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,090 1,557 coins | 6.0% | 7 | 9.7 | 0.72× |
| [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $931 1,330 coins | 7.7% | 21 | 14.6 | 1.44× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $803 1,147 coins | 15.5% | 37 | 34.0 | 1.09× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $350 500 coins | 9.7% | 37 | 48.6 | 0.76× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $202 289 coins | 6.7% | 43 | 58.3 | 0.74× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $82.60 118 coins | 4.6% | 91 | 97.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $77.70 111 coins | 4.3% | 103 | 97.1 | 1.06× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $55.92 79.89 coins | 3.1% | 117 | 97.1 | 1.20× |
| [MP5-SD \| Co-Processor (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-co-processor-factory-new) | 30.0% | $1.75 2.5 coins | 2.9% | 2,926 | 2914.2 | 1.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Mechanism (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-mechanism-factory-new) | 30.0% | $1.65 2.35 coins | 2.7% | 2,867 | 2914.2 | 0.98× |
| [Negev \| Power Loader (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-well-worn) | 35.0% | $1.03 1.47 coins | 2.0% | 3,442 | 3399.9 | 1.01× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) Hidden $19.91 28.44 coins $2,982 4,260 coins 149.8x 2026-11-10 18:06 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) [MOHAMMED](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/MOHAMMED) $19.91 28.44 coins $2,982 4,260 coins 149.8x 2026-11-09 22:23 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) Hidden $20.06 28.66 coins $2,979 4,255 coins 148.5x 2026-11-07 20:25 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) Hidden $20.06 28.66 coins $2,979 4,255 coins 148.5x 2026-11-03 15:48 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $19.91 28.44 coins $1,921 2,745 coins 96.52x 2026-11-10 17:27 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $19.91 28.44 coins $1,921 2,745 coins 96.52x 2026-11-10 15:41 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $19.91 28.44 coins $1,921 2,745 coins 96.52x 2026-11-10 15:33 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [Mrmccola2](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Mrmccola2) $19.91 28.44 coins $1,921 2,745 coins 96.52x 2026-11-10 08:16 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $19.91 28.44 coins $1,921 2,745 coins 96.52x 2026-11-10 01:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $19.89 28.42 coins $1,921 2,745 coins 96.59x 2026-11-08 22:13 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=cyborg)

[Negev | Power Loader (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-well-worn) Hidden $19.91 28.44 coins $1.03 1.47 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:21 UTC

[UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-mechanism-factory-new) Hidden $19.91 28.44 coins $1.65 2.35 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 14:21 UTC

[MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-co-processor-factory-new) [Jake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jake) $19.91 28.44 coins $1.75 2.5 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:21 UTC

[Negev | Power Loader (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-well-worn) Hidden $19.91 28.44 coins $1.03 1.47 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:21 UTC

[MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-co-processor-factory-new) Hidden $19.91 28.44 coins $1.75 2.5 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:21 UTC

[Negev | Power Loader (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-well-worn) Hidden $19.91 28.44 coins $1.03 1.47 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:21 UTC

[MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-co-processor-factory-new) Hidden $19.91 28.44 coins $1.75 2.5 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:15 UTC

[UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-mechanism-factory-new) Hidden $19.91 28.44 coins $1.65 2.35 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 14:15 UTC

[Negev | Power Loader (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-well-worn) Hidden $19.91 28.44 coins $1.03 1.47 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:15 UTC

[MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-co-processor-factory-new) [Jake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jake) $19.91 28.44 coins $1.75 2.5 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:15 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $19.91 | 90.90% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $19.98 | 90.90% | 13 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $20.06 | 90.90% | 13 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.3% covert 3.7% extraordinary 1.0% mil spec 30.0% industrial 30.0% restricted 35.0% best hit $2,982 (149.8x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
