--- title: "Daily Dub case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Daily Dub ($0.24) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.55% from 11 items with odds, observed 5.26% over 49.1K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/daily-dub rendered: 2026-11-11T19:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Daily Dub](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/daily-dub) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Daily Dub A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/daily-dub?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/daily-dub?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/daily-dub) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/daily-dub?window=all) Price · $0.24 · 0.34 coins Advertised RTP · 90.55% · EV $0.22 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 5.26% · 49.1K openings, odds method Variance · 130960.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 500,000 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 100.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 3,876 openings · below min 7 days · 38,490 openings · below min 30 days · 49,097 openings · below min since tracking started · 49,097 openings · below min -0.5% 572.0% 1144.5% **Small sample.** 49,097 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/daily-dub?window=24h) | 3,876 | 4.35% ±1139.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/daily-dub?window=7d) | 38.5K | 5.15% ±356.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/daily-dub) | 49.1K | 5.26% ±314.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/daily-dub?window=all) | 49.1K | 5.26% ±314.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 49.2K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $63.7K 90,950 coins | 29.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $53.5K 76,380 coins | 24.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 500,000 | $7,294 10,420 coins | 6.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $6,545 9,350 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 500,000 | $6,465 9,235 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 500,000 | $6,125 8,750 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 333,333 | $5,684 8,120 coins | 7.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 333,333 | $4,281 6,115 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 333,333 | $3,941 5,630 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Galil AR \| Sage Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-field-tested) | 48.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 3.1% | 23,612 | 23620.3 | 1.00× | | [G3SG1 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 52.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 1.7% | 25,597 | 25587.8 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=daily-dub) [G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.24 0.34 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.24 0.34 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [Galil AR | Sage Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-field-tested) Hidden $0.24 0.34 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [Galil AR | Sage Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-field-tested) Hidden $0.24 0.34 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.24 0.34 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [Moris](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Moris) $0.24 0.34 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [Galil AR | Sage Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-field-tested) [User#89](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/User%2389) $0.24 0.34 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC [Galil AR | Sage Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-field-tested) Hidden $0.24 0.34 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC [G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.24 0.34 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC [Galil AR | Sage Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-field-tested) Hidden $0.24 0.34 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $0.24 | 90.55% | 11 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $0.24 | 91.97% | 11 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.24 | 89.90% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% covert 0.0% consumer 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.55 on average: an expected loss of $9.45 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt